General Discussion
Showing Original Post only (View all)Hillary Clinton has a very tricky needle to thread [View all]
She has to motivate large numbers of minorities and appeal to a significant number of working class white voters. The latter will be particularly difficult to do. This ain't 2008.
I think Clinton has a fair number of other obstacles that get glossed over by the MSM. She's not a very adept campaigner. She comes off simultaneously as scripted and prone to making comments that are ripe for exploitation. The roll out of her recent book was an example of this. I suspect her support is not as robust as it now appears.
She certainly has a titanic machine and a lot of big money behind her. But that's both good news and bad news. How do you take on Wall Street- and it will be an issue, when you are so closely tied to it? And a political machine can be hidebound- as we saw in 2008.
At the moment, the American electorate seems to be in a fairly reactionary state. Will that extend into 2016? I believe so. And what about "Clinton fatigue"? It exists, but will it factor in significantly?
Clinton trounces all other dems, but she's close to even with Jeb Bush, Christy and Romney. Should the republicans nominate Cruz or Paul, she'll win, but I don't see that happening. Republicans don't nominate their firebrands and the party mechanisms and those who control those mechanisms won't support Cruz or Paul.