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NotHardly

(2,705 posts)
27. No Not Actually...
Wed Dec 31, 2014, 04:53 PM
Dec 2014

You are presuming a sort of "criminal calculus" that does not exist... never has, never will.

It takes 3 things to commit a crime ... Time, Opportunity & Intent ... and how those things combine, in the minds of the jury as presented with the facts (no sorta stuff), leads to the seriousness of the assessment of the offense and punishment that might be dealt if the person is found responsible.

1) Time ... timing is everything in life. If I plan even a millisecond to commit a crime then my timing has to be such that it presents a window of that opportunity to pull it off

2) Opportunity is not about time, it is about ability... the sheer ability to do a thing. I could intend and have time to crash all the computers in the world but since I do not know how (ability) I can intend and take time till I am 99 years old and I still could not do it. I can write bad checks but I can't electronically screw with the bank. Squeeky Fromm tried to shoot President Ford but she did not know how to release the safety on the 9mm... lack of the opportunity of ability/skill.

3) Intent ... direct and specific for high misdemeanors and felonies, not like running a stop sign that requires only general intent. The circumstances and facts of the event show that which I set into motion ... timing, tools, skills, ability and impact were designed to produce the results that occurred.

So, short story long ... criminals are not great thinkers (stop watching TV & movies as though they are documentaries) ... they are mostly simpletons who try for a fast ride for most frequently minor gains. Therefore, none of them but the bankers & other white-collar criminals do the math or criminal calculus ... so, no, no crime wave.

The NY cops have stopped enforcing minor crap ... and besides, what makes anyone think that enforcing the little stuff isn't the easy way while ignoring the major crimes... what's the homicide solve rate for NY??? Just about 62%... sounds like someone has been taking it easy for quite some time. http://projects.scrippsnews.com/story/state-state-breakdown-homicide-clearance-rates/

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

If the NYPD Want to Play That Game [View all] phantom power Dec 2014 OP
"obnoxious busywork that mainly serves to separate poor people from their money" villager Dec 2014 #1
"...or their lives." Iggo Dec 2014 #5
Good one. calimary Dec 2014 #8
Increasingly, yes. villager Dec 2014 #10
Yes But billhicks76 Dec 2014 #21
Their "leadership" is brilliantly illustrating how useless and harmful they are. Scuba Dec 2014 #2
The other problem I see pains me as a union member. calimary Dec 2014 #11
Great post. Yup, Lynch gives union chiefs a bad name. nt SunSeeker Dec 2014 #12
I agree completely. Good post! mountain grammy Dec 2014 #22
That's a great post. I've long held that the progressive labor movement in this country KingCharlemagne Dec 2014 #25
He is going to to run for office LiberalArkie Dec 2014 #26
HAH! Wouldn't surprise me in the least. calimary Dec 2014 #31
You are absolutely correct. Scuba Dec 2014 #32
Yep. Counterproductive. moondust Dec 2014 #34
THIS ^^^^ calimary Dec 2014 #35
His rants are intentionally designed to make all unions look bad meow2u3 Dec 2014 #39
Well, if it's not intentional, then he's not just a loud loutish thug, he's a frickin' IDIOT. calimary Dec 2014 #41
Isn't he meeting with local GOP party members? Oilwellian Dec 2014 #44
They are, in fact, in the process of negotiating a contract right now, and tblue37 Jan 2015 #45
After they realize their "gimmick" lsewpershad Dec 2014 #37
Great! They are performing this experiment for us. Chemisse Dec 2014 #3
Check This Out...Not A Suprise billhicks76 Dec 2014 #28
Citizens Surround Cops Making Petty Marijuana Arrest billhicks76 Dec 2014 #29
LA is no safe zone either Tsiyu Dec 2014 #38
A broken taillight can lead one directly into financial ruin. Flatulo Dec 2014 #4
So true. SunSeeker Dec 2014 #13
The fines for minor violations are absolutely absurd Flatulo Dec 2014 #15
Great. If they arrest few enough people, Mr.Bill Dec 2014 #6
The citizens of NYC have one of the highest per capita police forces on the planet randr Dec 2014 #7
I'm cutting down my crime sprees by 94% too. nt TeamPooka Dec 2014 #9
One guy cut down his cigarette selling by 100%...n/t Sheepshank Dec 2014 #17
alleged cigarette selling. nt TeamPooka Dec 2014 #18
yup, alleged. The miscreant that required a substantial PD takedown. Less for the PD to do already. Sheepshank Dec 2014 #20
Now that the word is out that the cops have decided to take it easy, some bad guys will decide to Dustlawyer Dec 2014 #14
No Not Actually... NotHardly Dec 2014 #27
Very good points, but you missed one.... daleanime Dec 2014 #36
No city should rely on fines as operating revenue. SunSeeker Dec 2014 #16
It seems they are making a perfect argument for a reduction in force. abakan Dec 2014 #19
typical union thuggery. Adam051188 Dec 2014 #23
Absolutely necessary... freebrew Dec 2014 #24
I totally agree! Stellar Dec 2014 #30
in denmark where they have enough taxes to pay for govt. in almost a month. i did not SEE a cop nor pansypoo53219 Dec 2014 #33
Yes, low taxes, especially on the rich/corporations, are part of the problem. SunSeeker Dec 2014 #40
Message auto-removed Name removed Dec 2014 #42
Matt Taibbi has a good article on this pokerfan Dec 2014 #43
Were There Any Reports of Increased Crime Leith Jan 2015 #46
Matt Taibbi cuts to the heart of the matter.. 2banon Jan 2015 #47
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