General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Why I defend NAFTA on DU, in four charts [View all]MrMickeysMom
(20,453 posts)You kill me
FRED's on the board of governors of the Federal Reserve. What do they look at for "industry"?
Why, the Industrial Production Index, Index 2007=100, Seasonally Adjusted (INDPRO). That tell you exactly what? Let's see
a dataset that uses for its' estimating the following factors, which have been tweaked themselves -
1) Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items (seasonally adjusted)
2) 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate (NOT seasonally adjusted)
3) Civilian Unemployment Rate (do we stop counting this after persons stop applying?)
4) Effective Federal Funds Rate (why don't you explain this one on an economy that is based on fractional reserves)
5) St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base (again, a monthly seasonally adjusted rate)
6) Crude Oil Prices: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) - Cushing, Oklahoma (dollars per barrel)
7)
Billions of Dollars, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1959-01 to 2014-11 (3 days ago)
8) All Employees: Total nonfarm
Thousands of Persons, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1939-01 to 2014-11 (Dec 5)
nation usa monthly sa bls headline figure employment establishment survey nonfarm payrolls
9) Trade Weighted U.S. Dollar Index: Major Currencies
Index March 1973=100, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1973-01 to 2015-01 (18 hours ago)
10) Month Treasury Bill: Secondary Market Rate
Percent, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1934-01 to 2014-12 (19 hours ago)
nation usa nsa monthly frb interest rate h15 treasury 3-month bills secondary market
11) Moody's Seasoned Aaa Corporate Bond Yield©
Percent, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1919-01 to 2014-12 (19 hours ago)
Hey
nobody ever fucks with the interest rate yield in the corporate bonds Moody's aaa!
12) M1 Money Stock
Billions of Dollars, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1959-01 to 2014-11 (Dec 29)
nation usa monthly sa frb monetary aggregates h6 m1
Industrial Production Index
Index 2007=100, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1919-01 to 2014-11 (Dec 15)
nation usa monthly sa frb headline figure indexes g17 ip
So, I think depending on what Moody's Seasoned Corporate Bond Yield are, the housing starts, and personal consumption expenditures tied to CHAIN TYPE PRICE INDEX
I think what we have here is a non-starter for how much better those dollars purchase goods and services for those who CONSUME them, thus lubricate the middle class economy.
WHAT BUNCH OF HOG WASH