I hate that Boehner invited Netanyahu - but there's a silver lining

[branford]

18. Why and how would Bibi be forced to cancel?

To the extent the invitation was problematic, he's already taken any political hits by accepting. Bibi is also already scheduled to be in the USA for the 2015 AIPAC Policy Conference, and there's no way the White House could interfere with his travel here without causing a political disaster with otherwise loyal Democratic Jews and virtually all of Congress, including the over two-thirds of Congressmen of both parties who will be in attendance.

Additionally, there's no way the Republicans would cancel the speech. Asserting congressional power on foreign affairs and embarrassing the White House, particularly after the president's moves on immigration and Cuba, is a feature, not a bug for the Republicans, as well as some Democrats. Just as the president has asserted unitary powers, the new Republican Congress is eager to flex its muscles.

The only way Bibi would cancel is if the White House announced an agreement with Iran that is satisfactory to Congress, including many Democrats like Menendez, who's accused Obama of spouting Iranian talking points. Since a bipartisan majority in Congress appears to favor sanctions and has expressed doubt about what Obama may be offering the Iranians, and Obama himself only gave the negotiations a 50/50 chance of success, such a result appears unlikely.