General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Is there a disconnect between DU and the rest of America? [View all]DemocratSinceBirth
(101,842 posts)Those states comprise 240 Electoral College votes. Yes WI is one of them.
Six straight elections in a row suggest a trend...
We also have the fact that since 1992 only one R has won a majority or plurality of the presidential vote.
We also have the head exploding fact that Barack Obama did worse among white voters than John Kerry, Al Gore, Bill Clinton, and Michael Dukakis and still won. Again, that's mind boggling. What's even more mind boggling is that with the demographics of 2008 and 2012 Al Gore would have won comfortably, and John Kerry and Michael Dukakis would have won in squeakers.
These demographic trends aren't aberrations. They go all the way back to the 1980 election.
To put it bluntly, unless a Republican or a Democrat can convince black, brown, and Asian folks to start voting for him or her in greater numbers than in the past he or she can't win. Again, there aren't many more white votes to harvest.
As to Walker even if he could make WI competitive as he should as it's his home state he weakens it elsewhere.
Again, there's no guarantees in electoral politics but the oddsmakers, where folks put up their hard earned money and sometimes a lot of it, have established Hillary as a prohibitive favorite.
They are looking at the same set of facts I'm looking at.
The only Republican who remotely scares me is Jeb Bush and there's no guarantee he gets the nomination.