Hillary the inevitable.

[hfojvt]

15. actually, no we don't

a) it's a Presidential election, so lots of people will vote in that
b) like the old joke about the two campers, where one says "you will never outrun that bear" and the other says "I don't have to outrun the bear, I just have to outrun you." Hillary, or any Democratic candidate, just needs to be more inspiring than her opponent
c) her gender alone is inspiring, especially to people who share that gender. How many female voters, and potential voters want to see that glass ceiling broken? I am guessing a fair number of them, even if they may not admit it to pollsters. In 2008, a number of black people came in to headquarters for Obama bumperstickers and told me they were Republicans. They probably would not admit that they were voting for Obama "just because he is black". I suspect many Republican women or independents who usually vote Republican will be "inspired" to switch.

On the other hand, I talked to two people while doing GOTV on election day 2008. One old black guy on a riding lawnmower told me "I haven't decided who to vote for yet" and I almost burst out laughing. I was thinking "you are joking right? Let me get you a mirror." One other old black guy with an incredible huge yard said he and his mother would not be voting because the supreme court proved in 2000 that there was no point. I talked with him for a few minutes and really hoped that my co-worker would join me, but she never came down the long driveway. I figured that an attractive black woman would be more persuasive than me.

I also talked to a white welfare mom with three kids who declined to vote. She said none of them were doing anything for the poor.

Unfortunately, we lost that election too. Our democratic incumbent in Congress got defeated. But we'd have needed another 30,000 votes to change that outcome.