I Truly Believe That There Are People Who Will Not Vote for Hillary Clinton

[MineralMan]

36. I think confirmation bias is at work here.

Frankly, I cannot think of a way that Hillary will not get the nomination if she enters the primaries. I don't see any challenger on the horizon who has any chance of beating her. Would I prefer a different eventual candidate? Yes. Do I think that is possible in 2016? Absolutely not. My personal preferences have literally nothing to do with the outcome.

Frankly, I'm looking toward the general election. We are not going to see a viable true progressive on the primary ballot. I think people are confused about how the voting will go in the primary. They don't like Hillary and believe that enough people agree with them to let some unnamed progressive beat her in the primaries. Based on my experience, I don't see any chance of that happening.

Elizabeth Warren is probably the name that would get the most votes, but it would be nowhere near close enough to keep Hillary from getting the nomination. If she ran in the primaries, which she won't, she might get as much as 25% of the primary vote in a couple of heavily blue states. Maybe. That's not anywhere near enough. People are overestimating how many votes would go to a progressive candidate, I"m certain.

Then there's Bernie Sanders. I seriously doubt that he will actually enter the Democratic primaries. If he does, he'll do about as well as Kucinich did in 2008, and will be eliminated in the first few primaries. The other current potential primary candidates are either Hillary supporters or not progressive enough to gain real support from that wing.

That's my analysis of the situation as it appears to be falling out. If I'm right, as I'm sure I am, Hillary will be the Democratic candidate. She is a Democrat. She's not as progressive as many would like, including myself. She is, however, a Democrat. Whoever the Democratic candidate will get my vote in the General Election. Period. There is no alternative to that that is not superbly frightening and disastrous. Anyone who believes otherwise is seriously confused, IMO.