General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Prediction: The May 1st "general strike" is going to be an enormous flop. [View all]LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)Based on your own personal expectations, or the expectation of the strikers themselves? Seems to me that were my expectations much greater than what social and cultural reality allowed, I too could boast a self-fulfilling prophecy. However, should I base my expectations on that of the strikers, I could, at best, only guess...
(But alas, as I don't pretend to be very clever-- fortune tellers are rather better at it than I, so I of course allow them their little guessing games-- I can only observe.)
Additionally, might I suggest Paul Kennedy's Rise and Fall of the great Powers for a better insight on the myriad of different catalysts of both dramatic and progressive change which (still) exists? You appear be to be stuck on the premise that regardless of time, culture, society, level of industrialism, etc, each attempt will mirror the one before it. I think Will & Ariel Durant (indeed, Kant, Hobbes & Rousseau also) kind of blew your little hypothesis out of the water many years ago-- even though we can rest assured that you did indeed, "bother to study history"