It is either Hillary Clinton or a Republican as the next POTUS & this is why

[betterdemsonly]

31. I am not impressed with self-identified liberals, moderates, or conservatives

I am not convinced the average person has a firm grasp of those terms mean as they relate to issues. New Democrats are and always were, way to the right of the public, on Wall Street Reforms, and Public Option. Read Ezra Kleins recent piece on the myth of the moderate voters, and moderate extremism. People identified as moderate aren't moderate at all. They just have a jumble of left and right extreme views like Rosanne Barr. http://www.vox.com/2014/7/8/5878293/lets-stop-using-the-word-moderate.

Quote from Vox.

"The only problem is moderates are largely a statistical myth. When you dig into their policy positions, the people who show up as moderates in polls are actually pretty damn extreme — and efforts to empower them may, accidentally, lead to the rise of more extreme candidates.
The statistical mistake behind the myth of the moderates

What happens, explains David Broockman, a political scientist at the University of California at Berkeley, is that surveys mistake people with diverse political opinions for people with moderate political opinions. The way it works is that a pollster will ask people for their position on a wide range of issues: marijuana legalization, the war in Iraq, universal health care, gay marriage, taxes, climate change, and so on. The answers will then be coded as to whether they're left or right. People who have a mix of answers on the left and the right average out to the middle — and so they're labeled as moderate.

But when you drill down into those individual answers you find a lot of opinions that are well out of the political mainstream. "A lot of people say we should have a universal health-care system run by the state like the British," Broockman said in July 2014. "A lot of people say we should deport all undocumented immigrants immediately with no due process. You'll often see really draconian measures towards gays and lesbians get 16 to 20 percent support. These people look like moderates but they're actually quite extreme."

The result is that voters who hold gentle opinions that are all on the left or the right end up looking a lot more extreme than voters who hold intense opinions that fall all over the political spectrum. Broockman offers this table as illustration:" http://www.vox.com/2014/7/8/5878293/lets-stop-using-the-word-moderate

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