Krugman: "in 2008 the Wall Street Journal ... knew – knew – that there was no housing bubble... [View all]
People arent very receptive to evidence if it doesnt come from a member of their cultural community. This has been blindingly obvious these past few years.
Consider what the different sides in economic debate have been predicting these past six or seven years. If you got your views from, say, the Wall Street Journal editorial page, you knew knew that there was no housing bubble, that America in 2008 wasnt in recession, that budget deficits would send interest rates sky-high, that the Feds expansion of its balance sheet would produce huge inflation, that austerity policies would lead to economic expansion.
Thats quite a record. And yet Im well aware that many people including people with real money at stake consider the WSJ a reliable source and people like, well, me flaky and unbelievable. Much of this is politics, of course, but thats intertwined with culture: the kind of people who turn to the WSJ, or right-wing investment sites can clearly see that Im a latte-sipping liberal who probably favors gay rights and doesnt worship the financially successful (I actually prefer good filter coffee, black, but thats otherwise accurate), and just not part of their tribe.
I suppose that in my quest to improve policy and understanding I should be trying to fit in better lose the beard, learn to play golf, start using impact as a verb. But I probably couldnt pull it off even if I tried. And as a result there will always be a large group of people who will never be moved by any evidence I present.
Actually, I had a wonderful, in a way, piece of correspondence today; the correspondent had read End this Depression Now!, and was having trouble finding any instances where I presented facts deceptively to support my ideological agenda. Could I please help him locate the places in the book where I do that?
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/05/economic-tribalism/