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Ken Burch

(50,254 posts) Mon Apr 20, 2015, 04:16 PM Apr 2015

Perspective [View all]

At this point in 1971, Ed Muskie was considered virtually certain to win the nominee and be elected in the fall of '72

At this point in 1979, Ted Kennedy was considered virtually certain to win the nomination and likely to win in the fall of '80.

At this point in 1987, Mario Cuomo was considered virtually certain to win the nomination and likely to win in the fall of '88.

At this point in 2007, HRC herself was considered virtually certain to win the nomination and likely to win in the fall of '08.

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Perspective [View all] Ken Burch Apr 2015 OP

I agree on 1971 & 2007. H2O Man Apr 2015 #1

The past does not determine the future. upaloopa Apr 2015 #2

I don't know anything about Ed Muskie's run. But your other three examples are off-base. Skinner Apr 2015 #3

I agree with you, but point of order on 1987. BKH70041 Apr 2015 #4

Of course. I was thinking of 1991/1992. Skinner Apr 2015 #5

That is true, sir. BKH70041 Apr 2015 #6

And thank you for pointing out my mistake. Skinner Apr 2015 #7

I wasn't referring to 1992 because we had NO presumptive frontrunner that year. Ken Burch Apr 2015 #8

Carter was the incumbent, but Kennedy had a huge lead over him in all polls at that stage. Ken Burch Apr 2015 #9