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MillennialDem

(2,367 posts)
69. During Napoleon's time, Moscow was not the capital of Russia, St Petersburg was which he failed to
Sat May 9, 2015, 12:43 PM
May 2015

take.

So let's dispel that common myth because it's so common I want to scream when I hear it.

Defeating Moscow probably would have had the Soviets capitulate, but I can't be certain of this. It certainly would have really crushed their ability to fight and resupply as virtually all rail traffic went through Moscow.

As for a knocked out USSR in 1941 but England and the US fight on, far too many uncertainties. As for naval power though, that's pretty irrelevant except for the perspective of Germany not being able to invade the US or UK any time relatively soon. On the other hand though, it also doesn't help the US and UK much as far as taking on Europe's superior ground forces. A battleship is useless for a fight in Budapest :p Also, you don't think the Axis would have switched to naval production if the US and UK refuse to agree to an armistice? And a naval blockade doesn't really deprive the Axis of anything. They have plenty of food in Ukraine and elsewhere and probably would have insisted on Baku as part of a peace treaty with Stalin for oil - plus of course Romania and synthetic gasoline from coal (my grandfather was both an early war German tanker and later Holocaust survivor who worked on this. He got booted from the army in 1940 for being half Jewish, but was sent to Luena-Werke in late 1943).

As for nukes, it would take a lot more than just the two used against Japan, unless large portions of the Nazi government or OKW/OKH were taken out by one of them. The Axis lost 5,500,000 soldiers in the USSR. That's 55 nukes :p but ok, maybe they lose 1.5 million in a quick defeat over the USSR, so we'll cut it down to 40 nukes. And yes, delivery method is another issue, without the Eastern Front, I'm not sure the US and UK could have established air superiority over hostile territory. They lost the late 1943-early 1944 air Battle of Berlin, and that's of course after the Eastern Front had already turned very sour. Also I think we start to get into way too many what ifs once we start looking at Summer of 1945 and later in Germany. One of the main reasons the Germans didn't put much development into a bomb, is again..... the problems on the Eastern Front and because they correctly assumed the war (in Europe) would be over before the bomb was produced. Maybe by the time the US and UK finally establish air superiority in 1946 Germany has their own bombs? Like I said, a lot of what ifs here, the A bomb is not an automatic win the war card.

As for production capacity, we always look at German vs US industrial capacity. I have no problem believing the US could have outproduced and eventually even defeated Germany.... but Germany was only 1/3 of the manpower of the Axis! They were just the big player, the most well trained, and most technologically advanced.

But when you add up the main separate alliances you essentially get:

Germany + Italy + others manpower (Yugoslavia, Hungary, Austria, Slovakia, Finland, Romania, Bulgaria): about 200 million. Not counting Japan, who was basically a separate entity all their own.
The Soviet Union: about 200 million
The US and UK combined: about 200 million (not counting India)

All 3 of these groups had similar industrial output. No USSR would mean a slug it out, nasty war in the West I think between two similarly matched alliances. It may have become an Iran-Iraq war style stalemate or an armistice and Cold War.

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There was a huge loss of life in Soviet Union in WW2. HooptieWagon May 2015 #1
More than 20 million Soviets died PSPS May 2015 #2
Yes, they lost that many Hekate May 2015 #26
Not all of those casualties were "Soviets" Art_from_Ark May 2015 #77
And they've all been redefined as "Russia." Igel May 2015 #50
Karelians (NW RF) were tremendously sentimental re their Great Patriotic War HereSince1628 May 2015 #3
We let them take Berlin... Archae May 2015 #4
They loss 225ooo men taking Berlin.... Historic NY May 2015 #28
"Can you imagine what it would have been like invading Tokyo?" Scootaloo May 2015 #38
"Wholly unnecessary"? - Well, one objective in war is is seek the KingCharlemagne May 2015 #45
Not quite that cut-n-dried jeff47 May 2015 #76
The Japanese never had made overtures of surrender Kaleva May 2015 #83
Glad to hear she's bringing it up tech3149 May 2015 #5
Actually there were several ceremonies in Europe abd Britain today malaise May 2015 #7
And now Russia has invaded their neighbor on ethnonationalist grounds NuclearDem May 2015 #9
Yes, we're generally well-aware of the role the USSR played in WWII. NuclearDem May 2015 #6
I'm sure you're right regarding DU. DisgustipatedinCA May 2015 #10
We are special. Igel May 2015 #51
Well, it comes down to carnage, who's willing to put it forward. n/t UTUSN May 2015 #8
They took the brunt of it but we helped a lot through lend lease. One thing that I've noticed brewens May 2015 #11
Maybe you can answer this for me. GGJohn May 2015 #12
I have no reason to believe you are lying. I'm sure it is true that you have been told that. :) brewens May 2015 #13
No, not lying, genuinely curious as to whether or not this was true. GGJohn May 2015 #14
From what I have read, I doubt it. I'm surprised it's not written up somewhere that he claimed it brewens May 2015 #15
Thanks. GGJohn May 2015 #16
He pretty much had to. What he wrote and spoke about in the 20s and 30s pretty MillennialDem May 2015 #31
Agreed. GGJohn May 2015 #32
I disagree - if Hitler didn't invade the Soviet Union, Germany probably would MillennialDem May 2015 #34
I bow to your much better knowledge of those events. GGJohn May 2015 #35
wasn't Hitler delayed like 6 weeks invading the Balkans? krispos42 May 2015 #47
That might have helped, but maybe not. The rasputitsa (mud) is a huge problem in MillennialDem May 2015 #52
Klotzen, nicht kleckern malthaussen May 2015 #56
Well, technically speaking, Hitler's biggest blunder was bailing Mussolini's ass out KingCharlemagne May 2015 #46
Difficult to define Hitler's "biggest blunder," malthaussen May 2015 #67
If you read Mein Kampf (in summary is good enough for non-professionals) cemaphonic May 2015 #81
As a kid, I learned a lot about the part the USA [layed before I even had a clue what brewens May 2015 #18
I think Hitler appreciated the tactical results of Pearl Harbor exboyfil May 2015 #43
Shhh, you're not allowed to point that out. malthaussen May 2015 #58
Per John Toland's biography, Hitler was thrilled by the Japanese attack hatrack May 2015 #84
Germany's relation with Japan seem one sided. . . Springslips May 2015 #86
I doubt it. HooptieWagon May 2015 #19
I agree, I think there was more coordination between Italy and Germany than between either of davidpdx May 2015 #21
Well, the coordination between Germany and Italy... HooptieWagon May 2015 #24
No, he did not. oneshooter May 2015 #22
Thanks for that info. GGJohn May 2015 #30
Which allowed the US to formalize its "Germany First" strategy Ex Lurker May 2015 #36
I think it was potential industrial capacity at that time. The big automakers went into overdrive freshwest May 2015 #41
What I have often wondered... malthaussen May 2015 #60
I think that is a good way of putting it davidpdx May 2015 #23
The U.S. provided much equipment to USSR HooptieWagon May 2015 #25
the russians practically had unlimited manpower, even if they had shortage of arms at times. they dionysus May 2015 #40
What battles are you referencing? At the decisive Battle of Stalingrad, Zhukov encircled an KingCharlemagne May 2015 #48
It was a meatgrinder. Igel May 2015 #53
Ah, I got you. But it was no one-sided meat grinder, as the Wehrmacht fed almost KingCharlemagne May 2015 #54
I disagree with your assessment of MacArthur. malthaussen May 2015 #61
Ah well, I'm no Clausewitz myself, so am relying on others' assessments. But I believe KingCharlemagne May 2015 #70
Considered brilliant, yes... malthaussen May 2015 #71
Understood. It's an interesting point you raise about Mac-hype. I'm KingCharlemagne May 2015 #72
Thanks! Should be interesting. malthaussen May 2015 #87
I find the opposite is often true. I bet if you polled people on the street at random most people MillennialDem May 2015 #29
There are always going to be people that are ignorant of history davidpdx May 2015 #37
It's not as though the US did nothing (also, please don't ignore the UK's efforts, which were MillennialDem May 2015 #39
The U.S., UK and western allies were dinking around down in North AFrica while the KingCharlemagne May 2015 #49
The numbers are disputed. Igel May 2015 #55
I apologize for my verbal sloppiness, as the figure of 26 million Soviet casualties refers to KingCharlemagne May 2015 #59
The importance of lend-lease lay less in tanks and guns than less glamorous equipment. malthaussen May 2015 #63
I know what lend lease did... but it's more of an issue of this MillennialDem May 2015 #66
Well, that's an easy one. malthaussen May 2015 #68
During Napoleon's time, Moscow was not the capital of Russia, St Petersburg was which he failed to MillennialDem May 2015 #69
I must have misstyped... malthaussen May 2015 #73
Apologies on the Napoleon thing - like I said I see it written enough that I do MillennialDem May 2015 #74
They came in from one side while we came in from the other. They made it to Berlin before we did. jwirr May 2015 #17
Sides? Who cares about what side one came through..... they faced 2/3 or more of the German army at MillennialDem May 2015 #27
Sides = sides of Berlin. jwirr May 2015 #44
Twice you've given the wrong date for Pearl Harbor Jim Lane May 2015 #80
Uh no. December 5th, 1941 is the day Operation Typhoon stopped. I was not referencing Pearl Harbor. MillennialDem May 2015 #82
Ah, thanks for the clarification. (n/t) Jim Lane May 2015 #85
Considering they gave them a kick start.... HEyHEY May 2015 #20
And for the poor people of Eastern Europe, one brutal occupation was replaced by another. tritsofme May 2015 #33
Lets not forget that the Soviets participated exboyfil May 2015 #42
One thing I have always found funny... malthaussen May 2015 #57
Westerners do that with everyone malaise May 2015 #62
the trouble with history is that it is defined by the objectives of those who write it dembotoz May 2015 #64
Unmasking the Politics of Commemoration Reclaiming WW2 polly7 May 2015 #65
Same here malaise May 2015 #75
The winners always write that they were the ones. Rex May 2015 #78
World War II lasted long after its over JonLP24 May 2015 #79
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