Poll: New speed bumps for Clinton

[jeff47]

58. That's 'cause you're busy trying to teleport Sanders to 2008.

The entirety of my point is Clinton screwed up in 2008. She lost a massive lead via a poorly-run campaign.

Another candidate was able to exploit her mistakes, and his own positive attributes, and won the primary.

Now we're in 2016. Clinton is running in another primary. It is way too early to measure if she is making mistakes. Currently, she's not connecting as well with large numbers of voters, but it's way too early to know if this will be a continuing problem. Also, she's running on inevitability again, which is not a terribly good idea after losing 2008 - recent history dismantles the primary argument for your candidacy.

There's attempts to justify the inevitability strategy like your claim about Obama's superhuman powers, but you turn around and undermine that by talking about the massive number of votes she got.

Hillary has a commanding leads in the polls:

Polls this early are wrong >90% of the time. The important thing to watch will be the deltas between the polls.

Those high poll numbers mean Clinton really doesn't have any room to do better. She can only go down. If she can lose support at a slow enough rate, she will win the primary. If she loses support too quickly, she has a large problem. Her response to that problem will determine whether or not she wins.

In 2008, her response was inept until it was too late to matter - she did much better than expected in the later primaries because she had jettisoned the "inevitability" strategy and started running as a candidate, not the default choice. Starting 2016 with an inevitability theme is concerning. It would be much better for her to be behaving as if she were the underdog - that version of Clinton did much better in the 2008 primary than inevitable Clinton.

I don't know why we are dwelling in the past...

The past is how we identify our mistakes and learn from them. If you ignore the past, you will make the same mistakes over and over again. If you want to see what happens, go take a look a Coakley's failed Senate and Governor campaigns. She flopped in an easy race against Scott Brown for Senate. She decided not to "dwell in the past", and flopped again in her race for Governor.

You either learn from your past, or you keep failing the same way.