Hillary Clinton is going to lose: She doesn’t even see the frustrated progressive wave

[jeff47]

104. Sure, if you ignore the trends in those states, as well as every other state.

Hence the "10 more" comment. "Flipping" one state on a map isn't the same as flipping it in real life. You're going to need more changes.

PA's been turning bluer and bluer over the last ~10 years. They got some Republicans in during wave elections, but those Republicans under-performed Republicans elsewhere.

VA is in a similar boat. Democrats keep winning statewide elections. Republicans used to be much more competitive. Republicans can win in a 'wave', as in PA, but also underperform.

OH's really the only toss-up in your list. If you can get people to vote their economic interests, the Democrat wins. If you get people to vote only on social issues, the Democrat loses. Clinton's currently focusing on social issues, and not economic issues, while Sanders is doing the opposite.

The FL Democratic party has been working overtime to keep non-centrists off the general election ballot. And losing. Clinton's much closer to the candidates that have been failing in Florida, so it's unlikely she'd win FL either.