Mathematically, if Scott Walker wins the GOP nomination he won't even win Wisconsin

[HereSince1628]

1. Yes, I've been saying this for a while...WI is liklely a blue state in the general...but

here's another dynamic to ponder...

In WI, a general election brings out ~50-70+% of registered voters. A primary typically brings out only 14%, and voters don't have to declare party affiliation to vote in the primary.

These things really open the state up to manifest effects for a 'surging' candidate and/or really good ground game.

Wisconsin is a bit late in the primary elections so it will likely align with the national trending pattern, but it's a state that, at least on paper, is in play for most of the democratic hopefuls. If the primary is still competitive when WI votes, WI will be interesting. A big part of the general election surge is younger voters who may be more influenced by peers than big media spending.