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In reply to the discussion: Self-driving cars can be fooled by fake signals [View all]bananas
(27,509 posts)93. Longship, you complained when I posted "The Revolution Will Not Be Formalized"
earlier this year, which was about a related subject - automated theorem proving in mathematics.
And I think the point you're trying to make about autonomous driving is similar to the point that article was making about automated theorem proving: they might work well in many circumstances, but there are also many circumstances where they just won't work at all.
You stumbled on the first paragraph because of the jargon, so I'll just quote these other three paragraphs:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1016123486
The Revolution Will Not Be Formalized
https://golem.ph.utexas.edu/category/2015/05/the_revolution_will_not_be_for.html
May 18, 2015
The Revolution Will Not Be Formalized
Posted by Mike Shulman
<snip>
What is the future of computer-verified proof? Is it the future of mathematics? Should we be happy or worried about that prospect? Does it mean that computers will take over mathematics and leave no room for the humans? My personal opinion is that (1) computer-verified proof is only going to get more common and important, but (2) it will be a long time before all mathematics is computer-verified, if indeed that ever happens, and (3) if and when it does happen, it wont be anything to worry about.
The reason I believe (2) is that my personal experience with computer proof assistants leads me to the conclusion that they are still very far from usable by the average mathematician on a daily basis. Despite all the fancy tools that exist now, verifying a proof with a computer is usually still a lot more work than writing that proof on paper. And thats after you spend the necessary time and effort learning to use the proof assistant tool, which generally comes with quite a passel of idiosyncracies.
Moreover, in most cases the benefits to verifying a proof with a computer are doubtful. For big theorems that are very long or complicated or automated, so that their authors have a hard time convincing other mathematicians of their correctness by hand, theres a clear win. (Thats one of the reasons I believe (1), because I believe that proofs of this sort are also going to get more common.) Moreover, a certain kind of mathematician finds proof verification fun and rewarding for its own sake. But for the everyday proof by your average mathematician, which can be read and understood by any other average mathematician, the benefit from sweating long hours to convince a computer of its truth is just not there (yet). Thats why, despite periodic messianic claims from various quarters, you dont see mathematicians jumping on any bandwagon of proof verification.
<snip>
The Revolution Will Not Be Formalized
https://golem.ph.utexas.edu/category/2015/05/the_revolution_will_not_be_for.html
May 18, 2015
The Revolution Will Not Be Formalized
Posted by Mike Shulman
<snip>
What is the future of computer-verified proof? Is it the future of mathematics? Should we be happy or worried about that prospect? Does it mean that computers will take over mathematics and leave no room for the humans? My personal opinion is that (1) computer-verified proof is only going to get more common and important, but (2) it will be a long time before all mathematics is computer-verified, if indeed that ever happens, and (3) if and when it does happen, it wont be anything to worry about.
The reason I believe (2) is that my personal experience with computer proof assistants leads me to the conclusion that they are still very far from usable by the average mathematician on a daily basis. Despite all the fancy tools that exist now, verifying a proof with a computer is usually still a lot more work than writing that proof on paper. And thats after you spend the necessary time and effort learning to use the proof assistant tool, which generally comes with quite a passel of idiosyncracies.
Moreover, in most cases the benefits to verifying a proof with a computer are doubtful. For big theorems that are very long or complicated or automated, so that their authors have a hard time convincing other mathematicians of their correctness by hand, theres a clear win. (Thats one of the reasons I believe (1), because I believe that proofs of this sort are also going to get more common.) Moreover, a certain kind of mathematician finds proof verification fun and rewarding for its own sake. But for the everyday proof by your average mathematician, which can be read and understood by any other average mathematician, the benefit from sweating long hours to convince a computer of its truth is just not there (yet). Thats why, despite periodic messianic claims from various quarters, you dont see mathematicians jumping on any bandwagon of proof verification.
<snip>
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Cars have defects now. Airbag/Brake issues. Large lawsuits. But car companies manage to survive! nt
Logical
Sep 2015
#31
And I wouldn't call someone like that a 'prankster', someone pointing a laser at an aircraft
PoliticAverse
Sep 2015
#4
They're not just 'pr' , not 'magic', and all major manufacturers are working on them.
PoliticAverse
Sep 2015
#3
autonomy is happening. New cars in the high and mid range already include a lot of
Warren Stupidity
Sep 2015
#5
In all the discussion Americans STILL can't get over their asinine obsession with driving cars
KittyWampus
Sep 2015
#7
I'm with you. Put all of this cash and research into public transportation. nt
onehandle
Sep 2015
#8
The only think that's holding back public transportation in the US is the inability
PoliticAverse
Sep 2015
#9
I would imagine that autonomous cars would fill in for taxis and similar services...
Humanist_Activist
Sep 2015
#19
I don't want to take a bus to work. But an automated taxi can take me. It is going to happen. nt
Logical
Sep 2015
#34
As people age, self driving cars are going to be a wonderful mode of transportation
yeoman6987
Sep 2015
#78
Ahh, but the i-car will be perfect, right? (Just be careful of the maps app + gps). n/t
X_Digger
Sep 2015
#12
Not perfect, just better than humans, its not hard, they don't get tired...
Humanist_Activist
Sep 2015
#21
The development of hover technology is seriouly lagging; 10/21/2015 is just around the corner!
MindPilot
Sep 2015
#13
Too much new infrastructure would more or less destroy the practicality of that.
Humanist_Activist
Sep 2015
#23
Really? Never? So you don't think they will ever figure out unpaved roads? Sounds like the people...
Logical
Sep 2015
#30
Yes you live where the conditions are hardest for the autonomous cars. Snow covered roads
PoliticAverse
Sep 2015
#32
Self-driving cars would likely be better than human drivers in adverse conditions.
MindPilot
Sep 2015
#42
The issue is you are claiming its NEVER going to happen, planes were only able to fly...
Humanist_Activist
Sep 2015
#62
Your misuse of the term strawman is annoying, its not a strawman to point out that...
Humanist_Activist
Sep 2015
#75
Sorry but the impassible road in impossible conditions is your straw man, not mine.
MindPilot
Sep 2015
#63
"They work, but it'll be generations before they are widely trusted and used." Bullshit......
Logical
Sep 2015
#28
Well, no one really worked on one as hard as like google is the car. And the cost.....
Logical
Sep 2015
#35
Its radar, not GPS and history is full of sentences exactly like that one. Cracks me up. nt
Logical
Sep 2015
#49