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kentauros

(29,414 posts)
2. The computer models from both earlier today and now
Sat Oct 24, 2015, 08:21 PM
Oct 2015

have it pretty much following the entirety of the Texas Gulf Coast. Straddling it, basically. So, plenty of moisture fueling the rains and flooding.






http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/eastern-pacific/2015/Post-Tropical-Cyclone-Patricia?map=model

Satellite imagery and surface observations from northern Mexico indicate that Patricia has degenerated to a remnant low pressure area characterized by no organized convection and a poorly defined surface circulation. The remnant low is expected to move northeastward and weaken to a trough during the next several hours, with the trough being absorbed by a non-tropical area of low pressure over southern Texas tonight or on Sunday.


This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Patricia. However, a threat of heavy rains continues over portions of Mexico and the northwestern coastal areas of the Gulf of Mexico. Future information on these rains can be found in statements issued by local National Weather Service forecast offices and the meteorological service of Mexico.

Forecast positions and Max winds

Init 24/2100z 25.3n 100.6w 25 kt 30 mph...Post trop/remnt low
12h 25/0600z...dissipated

$$
forecaster Beven

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