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cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)
9. The purpose of the low rates is to create inflation
Wed May 30, 2012, 12:19 PM
May 2012

We do not have artificially low rates. They are actually artificially high because we are up against the zero-boundary. (Meaning that the Fed would, if not constrained by the zero boundary, be cutting rates. The economy warrants lower rates. They are just not possible.)

One of two reasons Krugman (and all right-thinking economists) want more inflation is because we cannot cut rates.

Real Interest Rate = (Nominal Rate - Inflation)

When the Fed is stuck at zero:

Real Interest Rate = (zero minus inflation)

Since we cannot increase monetary stimulus by cutting nominal rates any more the only way the Fed can cut rates is for there to be inflation while the Fed holds steady at zero. If the Fed stands pat then every increase in inflation is an effective decrease in interest rates.

Inflation re-empowers the Fed's stimulative powers, which have been out of stimulus bullets for years now.

Low rates do not restrain growth. Low growth restrains rates. If the economy recovers rates (and inflation) will increase, the those higher rates will be an effect of growth, not a cause of growth.

The other reason we need inflation is that we are deeply indebted and every tick up in inflation reduces the real cost of all fixed-rate debt. That's sad for banks but good for debtors, and stimulating debtors will benefit the economy more than swelling bank profit margins will.

We're still scraping along the bottom of this recession. MadHound May 2012 #1
The 1% felt the recession? WI_DEM May 2012 #2
Mortgage rates are too high cthulu2016 May 2012 #3
People aren't buying them for a number of reasons MadHound May 2012 #4
Out of curiosity... cthulu2016 May 2012 #5
Common sense. MadHound May 2012 #7
The purpose of the low rates is to create inflation cthulu2016 May 2012 #9
You're preaching neoclassical nonsense, imo. girl gone mad May 2012 #19
MadHound was citing the neoclassical nonsense. I was translating it. cthulu2016 May 2012 #21
PS cthulu2016 May 2012 #22
An alternative prognosis is that resource constraints put a ceiling on growth bhikkhu May 2012 #25
I mean every word of what I wrote. girl gone mad May 2012 #26
dear MadHound, you are "on the left" - that explains the poster's agenda completely... msongs May 2012 #10
Good lord... do you have any thought process at all? cthulu2016 May 2012 #20
If the homeowners would just band together and sell off a bunch of Credit Default Swaps, jtuck004 May 2012 #6
People aren't buying because they don't have jobs... Mayflower1 May 2012 #11
Propping up prices (for banks that hold so many homes) is slowing what recovery there is. n/t Egalitarian Thug May 2012 #8
Sadly Nuclear Unicorn May 2012 #12
Which is exactly why this path of non-solutions was exactly the wrong thing to do Egalitarian Thug May 2012 #15
Can you keep a secret? Nuclear Unicorn May 2012 #16
Well I'm a bad Democrat, There are certain principles that I will always stand by even, and Egalitarian Thug May 2012 #24
Interesting... because in May the realtors I know can't take a day off... progressivebydesign May 2012 #13
Isolated markets? Hawkowl May 2012 #17
As we all know anecdote is much more important than data AngryAmish May 2012 #18
We bailed out the banks that hold title to many of these homes. This has kept home prices Romulox May 2012 #14
if we supported the job market, and by aftereffect, worker's wages magical thyme May 2012 #23
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