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exboyfil

(18,371 posts)

13. Sure looks like it is coming down to 1/3s

Reply to tblue37 (Reply #10)

Fri Jan 22, 2016, 10:33 AM

Jan 2016

1/3 Trump
1/3 Cruz (I think he will ultimately get Carson's voters)
1/3 "Sane" candidate(s)

A recent article talked about how Trump has a real delegate advantage early because of the way the assignment of delegates goes. The 1/3 support can actually translate to over 40% of the delegates - a clear plurality going into the convention.

http://prospect.org/article/gop-nomination-rules-tilt-playing-field-toward-donald-trump

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Poor Jeb, now his mother has to campaign for him. At 3% or so it would seem more graceful if he [View all] RKP5637 Jan 2016 OP

Aww ejbr Jan 2016 #1

... RKP5637 Jan 2016 #2

Those Bushes stick together like LuvNewcastle Jan 2016 #3

Jeb was up to 10% a couple days ago. Hortensis Jan 2016 #4

They're likely holding out until the dust settles some more. RKP5637 Jan 2016 #6

Never underestimate Jeb 'Low-Energy' Bush Kaleva Jan 2016 #5

... RKP5637 Jan 2016 #7

I'm sure her beautiful mind rjsquirrel Jan 2016 #8

Sad, really ejbr Jan 2016 #9

No, I want him to stay in, because the candidates that seem less bizarre are splitting the semi-sane tblue37 Jan 2016 #10

Very good point! n/t RKP5637 Jan 2016 #12

Sure looks like it is coming down to 1/3s exboyfil Jan 2016 #13

Sure hope she remembered to pin his mittens to his coat - Iowa is COLD! hatrack Jan 2016 #11