General Discussion

GummyBearz

(2,931 posts)

32. I wouldn't be so sure of that

Wed Feb 10, 2016, 01:52 PM

Feb 2016

in the main election - Sanders would have Clinton voters or vice versa
and the same for the Republican clusterfuck. Things may add up differently
than they look now.

If the same number of voters would pick either Clinton or Sanders, they would poll the same vs. Trump. After all, how can Sanders be winning head to head vs Trump, but Clinton be losing head to head vs Trump if the voters will pick either one? Also note the number of DU Sander's supporters who have been banned for saying they wont vote Clinton in the general election no matter what. And the Independent voters who are energized about a candidate Sanders and at the same time bored to death about a candidate Clinton. There is a reason why Sanders polls better vs trump than Clinton does vs trump.

Cannot edit, recommend, or reply in locked discussions

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

36 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

According to national polls, Trump beats Hillary, while Sanders beats Trump. [View all] ChairmanAgnostic Feb 2016 OP

According to Nate Silver's 538 website, these polls mean nothing right now Gothmog Feb 2016 #1

that be the same Nate who ChairmanAgnostic Feb 2016 #2

The goalpost now are on wheels madokie Feb 2016 #18

a great mental image you create there. ChairmanAgnostic Feb 2016 #26

Serious question ... Whiskeytide Feb 2016 #28

Here are some warnings from Nate Silver's 538 website about polls Gothmog Feb 2016 #3

It wasn't that long ago Nate had Bush with some huge probability of Laura PourMeADrink Feb 2016 #5

I do agree that national polls are iffy and not perfectly reliable ChairmanAgnostic Feb 2016 #6

That goes both ways. safeinOhio Feb 2016 #16

Democrats would be insane to nominate Bernie Sanders Gothmog Feb 2016 #4

Ah, you must be referring to the negative attacks from Gloria, Madeleine, Chelsea, and bill ChairmanAgnostic Feb 2016 #9

Trump says he will kill Bernie on taxes if nominee. On Clinton - Laura PourMeADrink Feb 2016 #11

Exactly! hamsterjill Feb 2016 #29

Bernie Sanders says he polls better against GOP candidates than Hillary Clinton Gothmog Feb 2016 #7

The DNC doesn't care about that fact Blueguyinthesky Feb 2016 #8

Nate was right once and thats about all madokie Feb 2016 #19

Yeah but C_U_L8R Feb 2016 #10

I wouldn't be so sure of that GummyBearz Feb 2016 #32

Regardless of polls, independents and moderates... hoosierlib Feb 2016 #12

I'd like to recommend this, but it's still an uphill battle to avoid nominating Hillary. lumberjack_jeff Feb 2016 #13

Hillary cannot win the GE. I am amazed that there are people who think that she can. bowens43 Feb 2016 #14

She's either going to lose the Primary or the General. NightWatcher Feb 2016 #15

Beware of believing what you want to hear repeated over and over again treestar Feb 2016 #21

I am far out on the left. I disagree with you. nt earthshine Feb 2016 #30

I don't agree with that. hamsterjill Feb 2016 #31

If Bernie is nominated---the repubs, Rove and the media Kingofalldems Feb 2016 #17

Vetting hasn't started on Bernie treestar Feb 2016 #20

ah, no. ChairmanAgnostic Feb 2016 #22

REPUBLICAN scrutiny treestar Feb 2016 #23

Well, I think you are likable enough. As is Bernie :) ChairmanAgnostic Feb 2016 #24

Sanders can win -- basic premise ... earthside Feb 2016 #25

Hillary won New Hampshire last night.... so Bernie is done Anti-Establishment Feb 2016 #27

but WAIT! McGovern LOST 49 states to 1!! closeupready Feb 2016 #33

To an entrenched incumbent KamaAina Feb 2016 #34

National polls mean little to nothing right now. Egnever Feb 2016 #35

Locking In_The_Wind Feb 2016 #36