Okay. So what if it's Hillary against Trump? What happens?

[0rganism]

21. Hillary will eviscerate him in debates, he will stump on how untrustworthy she is

Hillary is an excellent debater but so far appears to be a mediocre campaigner; i hope that will change in time for the GE. i give her the edge on raw ability and experience.

if the investigations into her various maybe-scandals continue, count on DT to use that against her early and often, which will give him an edge in campaigning, but backfire on him if he tries to swing with it in debates. he knows this full well, and will instead settle for making snide detail-free remarks about her "obvious" dishonesty. his edge lies in his media-granted ability to level consequence-free snark at anyone without ever being held accountable.

DT unites the minority vote with the Democrats, but peels away some white independents and independents who have, shall we say, "lingering concerns" about her trustworthiness. i think the overall effect will turn out to be a wash, possible edge to DT since there are a lot of independents who simply won't vote for HRC regardless, and DT will actually be an attractive anti-establishment candidate for them.

name recognition is pretty much a non-issue for either of them. positive advertising will be focused on shoring up their perceived weaknesses by appealing to their historical strengths: HRC will advertise on the basis of her achievements with various aid groups and record of employment, DT will advertise (yes, i think he'd buy ads in the GE) his success as a businessman and dedication to "making America great again" whatever that means. again, a wash.

later in the campaign, the negative ads designed to evoke anger and depress turnout will blanket the airwaves. HRC will be cast as a careless liberal grifter who panders to the special interests who finance her, while DT will be excoriated for his numerous indiscretions & bankruptcies, his proto-racist planks, and his objectifying attitude towards women. edge to DT on this because
1. his attack ads will be confirming what a lot of voters already think they know
2. no one is better than DT at making snarky personal attacks

So far DT has articulated a vision, a fantastical fascistic unevolved vision, which will jiggle the Reagan nerve in a lot of voters.
HRC has yet to really do so, i hope she's got one she's saving for the GE that kicks ass or we have a serious problem. if HRC can present her vision for the country as more attractive than DT's, she wins. i think she knows this already so edge HRC.

overall, i think HRC takes it but it's going to be a nail biter and the senate won't flip.