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In reply to the discussion: Google robot is 'the end of manual labor' [View all]EdwardBernays
(3,343 posts)50. here's where that falls down
robots and automation DRAMATICALLY lower costs.
Small businesses that use them will be able to offer products and services at substantially lower prices.
Like every other time this has happened in the economy, those that don't adapt will collapse.
And honestly, if you go and look at the data - lots exists - it's not just new businesses. LOTS of existing small manufacturing concerns are automating repetitive tasks. Universal Robots has already sold 4K of their robotic arms, many in the US. The price is about the same as one year of skilled labor, and it's EXTREMELY easy to program. AND. That's just one company.
But that's just manufacturing.
Lot's of small businesses are transportation, and self-driving cars are coming, quickly, and they WILL be used in industry - they're already being tested in the EU for long haul trucking and package delivery.
Self-driving trucks are just TWO years away says Daimler as it is set to get go-ahead for trials on German roads within months
On-board computers and wireless technology can also allow the trucks to 'platoon' in a long convoy where a long row of vehicles all follow the same instructions in lock-step.
Its technology could hypothetically eliminate the need for a driver completely, though current designs and regulations call for a qualified driver to be in the cab at all times.
Nonetheless, the specter of fully automated vehicles in the future could lessen the negotiating power of major drivers' unions, including the truck-driving branch of Teamsters.
Freightlinger, part of Daimler, unveiled their 'Inspiration Truck' in Nevada on Tuesday, where the autonomous vehicle has just been licensed for the first time
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-3176535/Self-driving-trucks-just-TWO-years-away-says-Daimler-set-ahead-trials-German-roads-months.html
And delivery services:
His company's solution? Small, lightweight, autonomous delivery robots. First announced in November, the robots will be tested on the UK's streets in 2016 ahead of a full commercial roll-out planned for 2017. Heinla expects land-based robots to beat much-hyped drone delivery technology to the market.
http://www.wired.co.uk/news/archive/2015-11/23/anita-heinla-starship-wired-retail-2015
Don't forget warehouses either:
This is an adapt or die situation I'm afraid. The projections made by multiple sources in industry and robotics say the time frame for a 20-30% job loss is decades, not a century. If old business don't adapt new business will replace them.
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It will move to a jobless society. I studied that eons ago in college economics. The professor
RKP5637
Feb 2016
#54
Why would a reduction plan be necessary? The issue is political, rather than just a question...
Humanist_Activist
Feb 2016
#90
We need to focus on technologies and policies that provide everyone with a base quality of life.
phleshdef
Feb 2016
#99
i agree i willl do whatever they want us to do. (hopes AI reading this in 5 years believes me) nt
JanMichael
Feb 2016
#28
This is a very worrisome development. These are jobs needed by people WHO MADE ME A DEMOCRAT.
WinkyDink
Feb 2016
#13
It's always been about distribution of wealth. What has technology got to do with it?
hunter
Feb 2016
#23
I would like to see a bunch of them 15 to 20 stories in the air, putting metal decking on a
Ghost in the Machine
Feb 2016
#32
As niche markets, I'm sure human run and operated businesses have a place...
Humanist_Activist
Feb 2016
#38
Except, I'm not talking about small businesses competing with big businesses.
kentauros
Feb 2016
#82
That machine, at 50 grand, will be cheaper than a human and pay for itself...
Humanist_Activist
Feb 2016
#65
That's a blanket claim that will prove untrue, I'm sure. There will be some...
Humanist_Activist
Feb 2016
#76
I'm laughing that anyone thinks anything positive is going to happen as a result of mass automation.
HughBeaumont
Feb 2016
#41
See, you're coming from an idealist perspective that American power brokers are reasonable.
HughBeaumont
Feb 2016
#85
indeed... although we could put restrictions on it much like we do for human gene engineering
Fast Walker 52
Feb 2016
#61
this is true... still, it seems obvious that we should enact some restrictions on what robots can do
Fast Walker 52
Feb 2016
#77
This is what I know, I know that there will always be a need for manual labor.
closeupready
Feb 2016
#69
Will robots be doing inventory, intake? In Pixar cartoons, it seems so easy.
closeupready
Feb 2016
#73
Actually I would expect they would, as long as they are capable of manipulating...
Humanist_Activist
Feb 2016
#79
What limit of physical reality prevents robots from assembling robot parts and other robots?
jeff47
Feb 2016
#96
For one thing, access to natural resources can be an insurmountable physical limit
closeupready
Feb 2016
#104
"We already have people 3D printing 3D printers. " This is like the lady on the Land O Lakes Butter
bettyellen
Feb 2016
#110

