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In reply to the discussion: NASA admits there's 'a chance' that asteroid 2013 TX68 COULD smash into Earth [View all]muriel_volestrangler
(105,885 posts)20. About twice the power of the Chelyabinsk meteor, which was 65 ft
It might kill people close to it if it exploded/hit very near a populated area, but not 'crop failures and weather alterations', I think:
During the upcoming March 5 flyby, asteroid 2013 TX68 could fly past Earth as far out as 9 million miles (14 million kilometers) or as close as 11,000 miles (17,000 kilometers). The variation in possible closest approach distances is due to the wide range of possible trajectories for this object, since it was tracked for only a short time after discovery.
Scientists at NASA's Center for NEO Studies (CNEOS) at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California, have determined there is no possibility that this object could impact Earth during the flyby next month. But they have identified an extremely remote chance that this small asteroid could impact on Sep. 28, 2017, with odds of no more than 1-in-250-million. Flybys in 2046 and 2097 have an even lower probability of impact.
"The possibilities of collision on any of the three future flyby dates are far too small to be of any real concern," said Paul Chodas, manager of CNEOS. "I fully expect any future observations to reduce the probability even more."
Asteroid 2013 TX68 is estimated to be about 100 feet (30 meters) in diameter. By comparison, the asteroid that broke up in the atmosphere over Chelyabinsk, Russia, three years ago was approximately 65 feet (20 meters) wide. If an asteroid the size of 2013 TX68 were to enter Earth's atmosphere, it would likely produce an air burst with about twice the energy of the Chelyabinsk event.
https://www.nasa.gov/feature/jpl/small-asteroid-to-pass-close-to-earth-march-5
Scientists at NASA's Center for NEO Studies (CNEOS) at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California, have determined there is no possibility that this object could impact Earth during the flyby next month. But they have identified an extremely remote chance that this small asteroid could impact on Sep. 28, 2017, with odds of no more than 1-in-250-million. Flybys in 2046 and 2097 have an even lower probability of impact.
"The possibilities of collision on any of the three future flyby dates are far too small to be of any real concern," said Paul Chodas, manager of CNEOS. "I fully expect any future observations to reduce the probability even more."
Asteroid 2013 TX68 is estimated to be about 100 feet (30 meters) in diameter. By comparison, the asteroid that broke up in the atmosphere over Chelyabinsk, Russia, three years ago was approximately 65 feet (20 meters) wide. If an asteroid the size of 2013 TX68 were to enter Earth's atmosphere, it would likely produce an air burst with about twice the energy of the Chelyabinsk event.
https://www.nasa.gov/feature/jpl/small-asteroid-to-pass-close-to-earth-march-5
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NASA admits there's 'a chance' that asteroid 2013 TX68 COULD smash into Earth [View all]
lovuian
Feb 2016
OP
The Chelyabinsk asteroid broke up in mid-air though and only produced an air blast
NickB79
Feb 2016
#23
The probability of a hit on the 2nd is based on the probabilities of where it could go on the 1st
muriel_volestrangler
Feb 2016
#30
See #31 - NASA is saying there is zero probability of a hit in the next century
muriel_volestrangler
Feb 2016
#33
Good thing ive been practicing on how to deal with exactly this scenario
Warren DeMontague
Feb 2016
#21
I've just realised, the Mirror has got this wrong - NASA is now saying *no* chance of a hit
muriel_volestrangler
Feb 2016
#31