Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

muriel_volestrangler

(105,885 posts)
20. About twice the power of the Chelyabinsk meteor, which was 65 ft
Sun Feb 28, 2016, 05:24 AM
Feb 2016

It might kill people close to it if it exploded/hit very near a populated area, but not 'crop failures and weather alterations', I think:

During the upcoming March 5 flyby, asteroid 2013 TX68 could fly past Earth as far out as 9 million miles (14 million kilometers) or as close as 11,000 miles (17,000 kilometers). The variation in possible closest approach distances is due to the wide range of possible trajectories for this object, since it was tracked for only a short time after discovery.

Scientists at NASA's Center for NEO Studies (CNEOS) at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California, have determined there is no possibility that this object could impact Earth during the flyby next month. But they have identified an extremely remote chance that this small asteroid could impact on Sep. 28, 2017, with odds of no more than 1-in-250-million. Flybys in 2046 and 2097 have an even lower probability of impact.

"The possibilities of collision on any of the three future flyby dates are far too small to be of any real concern," said Paul Chodas, manager of CNEOS. "I fully expect any future observations to reduce the probability even more."

Asteroid 2013 TX68 is estimated to be about 100 feet (30 meters) in diameter. By comparison, the asteroid that broke up in the atmosphere over Chelyabinsk, Russia, three years ago was approximately 65 feet (20 meters) wide. If an asteroid the size of 2013 TX68 were to enter Earth's atmosphere, it would likely produce an air burst with about twice the energy of the Chelyabinsk event.

https://www.nasa.gov/feature/jpl/small-asteroid-to-pass-close-to-earth-march-5

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

It's like winning the powerball SoLeftIAmRight Feb 2016 #1
me too but it's a lovuian Feb 2016 #2
My luck ThoughtCriminal Feb 2016 #9
On the same day. nt awoke_in_2003 Feb 2016 #15
LOL!!! RKP5637 Feb 2016 #26
Better call Harry Stamper. underahedgerow Feb 2016 #3
GMTA Brother Buzz Feb 2016 #5
"Yippee-ki-yay, underahedgerow Feb 2016 #10
You know we're sitting on four million pounds of fuel.... Brother Buzz Feb 2016 #11
There was a quote by one of the early Mercury Astronauts.... A HERETIC I AM Feb 2016 #16
I think it was Alan Shepard. cherokeeprogressive Feb 2016 #22
Like winning the powerball, it only takes one to win Brother Buzz Feb 2016 #4
trump would build a wall to prevent it dembotoz Feb 2016 #6
That's what I heard, as well. Blue_In_AK Feb 2016 #7
I noticed the Russians are working on it lovuian Feb 2016 #8
2013 TX68 should aim for the next GOP debate site. Solly Mack Feb 2016 #12
It's got Texas' name on it. randome Feb 2016 #18
A 100-ft wide rock would pack quite the punch NickB79 Feb 2016 #13
About twice the power of the Chelyabinsk meteor, which was 65 ft muriel_volestrangler Feb 2016 #20
The Chelyabinsk asteroid broke up in mid-air though and only produced an air blast NickB79 Feb 2016 #23
But it's not many nukes at once muriel_volestrangler Feb 2016 #25
Given the quoted variation in possible trajectaries Ghost Dog Feb 2016 #29
The probability of a hit on the 2nd is based on the probabilities of where it could go on the 1st muriel_volestrangler Feb 2016 #30
I'd call it a fuzzy probability. Ghost Dog Feb 2016 #32
See #31 - NASA is saying there is zero probability of a hit in the next century muriel_volestrangler Feb 2016 #33
Like winning the Powerball, except that in this case... Nitram Feb 2016 #14
70% chance it lands in water. n/t A HERETIC I AM Feb 2016 #17
That's funny, that lines up (nearly) with another forecast apocalypse date. Shandris Feb 2016 #19
Good thing ive been practicing on how to deal with exactly this scenario Warren DeMontague Feb 2016 #21
............ Tommy_Carcetti Feb 2016 #24
100 foot wide asteroid isn't big enough to destroy most life on the planet lunatica Feb 2016 #27
Only 100 foot Reter Feb 2016 #28
I've just realised, the Mirror has got this wrong - NASA is now saying *no* chance of a hit muriel_volestrangler Feb 2016 #31
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»NASA admits there's 'a ch...»Reply #20