General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Prediction time: The Democrat Could Carry 46 States [View all]davidn3600
(6,342 posts)It may be fun to think about this kind of thng....
But keep in mind this is all absolutely complete speculation. Lots of assumptions being made without much statistical data to back them up. The whole situation on the GOP side is very fluid. Too many unknowns. Emotions are high and things are being said out of frustration and anger and not fully serious. It's very difficult to get an accurate picture right now.
You have to remember at least 47% of this nation will vote for the Republican candidate, whoever that may be. It's automatic these days because they will be voting AGAINST the Democrat. Just because some conservatives don't like Trump doesn't mean they are going to start voting for Hillary and support liberal ideas and vote in a straight Democrat ticket. Politics doesn't work that way.
If you think Hillary is going to win 47 state.....yeah, it's probably time to put down the pipe for awhile. In 2006-2008 there was statistical data suggesting a massive Democratic wave. Right now, that same data does NOT show a wave. In fact, our turnout numbers so far are down 25% compared to 2008. If that holds, retaking control of the House is mathematically impossible.