Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
 

SheilaT

(23,156 posts)
14. It certainly feels that way.
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 01:03 PM
Mar 2016

"In a normal, non-hyper-financialized economy, every saver can beat inflation through simple savings - no investments, no risk-taking required." is wrong. Savers can never beat inflation. Invest only in bonds and not stocks and you will fall behind.

Stocks return an average of 10% per year, although almost no year is average. Year to year stocks can be quite volatile, but that 10% holds up over time. Passbook savings at a bank pays essentially nothing these days, and has been paying nothing for at least ten years. Meanwhile there is still inflation eroding those savings. That erosion makes a mockery of your contention that savings accounts are rock solid 100% safe investment vehicles. Meanwhile, even though the stock market has dropped significantly at various times, it has always roared back, building up to new highs. Sure, there will be future crashes, but if you hang in there for the long term -- and I've been in the market for some 40 years now -- you will do far, far better than just putting your money under a mattress.


If you honestly think you can save enough money to fund your retirement, go for it. But the harsh reality is that it is almost impossible for simple savings to do the trick. Investing in the stock market, not day trading, not reaching for huge returns, just investing in some good mutual funds, that will do the trick. Unfortunately, too many people look at short term volatility and panic. In the fourteen years I've been on DU I've read thousands of posts glibly predicting the market will totally crash, and almost as many gleefully anticipating a crash. Yes, the markets go up and down, but the overall trend is up, and up well ahead of inflation.

Here's a link to one of the very many sites that show this. http://www.businessinsider.com/range-of-annualized-stock-bond-returns-2014-11

Here's another linkhttp://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/histretSP.html
This one compares both rates of returns and what the compounded value of $100 invested in the stock market and in bonds. The Great Depression was very hard on stocks, but after that there is simply no comparison. Even in down years, someone who had been totally in stocks is far ahead of someone totally in bonds. Good investment advisor suggest a mix of stocks and bonds, a mix of what kinds of funds or stocks to be in.


Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

I still think that... RepubliCON-Watch Mar 2016 #1
I don't think you understand what a "junk bond" is Recursion Mar 2016 #3
People here are constantly jonesing for a crash. SheilaT Mar 2016 #2
the market represents the wealth of the 1% AgerolanAmerican Mar 2016 #4
So the tens of millions of us whatthehey Mar 2016 #5
Well, that's exactly it AgerolanAmerican Mar 2016 #7
Unless of course melm00se Mar 2016 #6
While the 1% owns a large percentage of that money, SheilaT Mar 2016 #9
Seriously? AgerolanAmerican Mar 2016 #13
It certainly feels that way. SheilaT Mar 2016 #14
That's probably part of it, yeah Orrex Mar 2016 #10
A serious stock market crash SheilaT Mar 2016 #11
Good points, all Orrex Mar 2016 #12
I'm still approx $25,000 less than where I was at last June. B Calm Mar 2016 #8
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Dow turns positive for ye...»Reply #14