Trump is the only candidate in the race who loses if he wins and loses if he loses.

[0rganism]

6. Trump won't be president

Republicans need 40% of the Hispanic vote to win the presidency.

how much of the Hispanic vote do you think Trump will carry?
10%? - there are enough Hispanics who are fanatically conservative enough to get him this much
20%? - i think he can get this much with disgruntled Cuban exiles and their allies
30%? - not likely, i think this is about 5 points above his ceiling
iirc W got 45% in 2000, and barely "won" the election. how do you think Trump is going to beat any Democratic candidate?

of course, you could argue that his demographic turnout profile will be much different from W's, and he'll be a Republican candidate unlike any other. okay, it's a super long shot, but maybe so. now how much of the female vote do you think he can pull in?

times have changed; no one, not a Democrat or a Republican, not Trump or anyone else, can win with just the white male vote. not anymore.