General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Scott Walker, Not Paul Ryan, Could Be the GOP's Cleveland Surprise [View all]whatthehey
(3,660 posts)It would still be too late. Trump's mammoth ego won't let him go back to what I remain convinced was plan A - to run a pace car campaign, then cash in with celebrity grifts, showing Palin how a real pro con-man does it. He actually thinks he appeals to the masses and that their lizard brain beta male response is a genuine reflection of his worth. Living in the Republican primary bubble where angry parochial white men are a definite plurality if not majority, he has the idea that this represents the world and that the overall population loves nothing more than half-formed blustery nonsense and will grant him the biggest grift of all, a post-presidential gravy train.
Sure the convention could, and will certainly try to, yank the nomination away from him either with the slimeball pseudo-revivalist or a deus ex machina savior to be named later, but even if that was today, let alone June, he will with certainty launch an indy run even with write in campaigns in early registration states, and while his brownshirts are nowhere near the ratio of the electorate he apparently thinks, loyal and obdurate they certainly are, and far far more numerous than any potential Republican margin of victory in swing states that would deny the Dem (any Dem, we really could nominate a yellow dog if any were over 35 and citizens) the WH. When OH and PA are likely to be close to 50-50, even a 5% Trump protest vote, taking at least 4 of those 5 from the GOP, guarantees a win for the good guys, and Trump's likely take especially in rust belt states is going to be far bigger than 5%. Hell his wedge wouldn't just hit the swingers. Some reliable red states instead of going 58 red 42 blue coould very easily go 40-42-18 instead. He won't win a single EC vote, except perhaps the rural end of NE's split, but he'll stop Walker or Ryan or whomever from winning bunches.