Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

Ex Lurker

(3,967 posts)

3. You have to drill down to the state level

Reply to DetlefK (Original post)

Wed May 4, 2016, 07:22 AM

May 2016

A lot of those African Americans and Hispanics are in Texas. They may not vote for Trump, but the white voters, male and female, will overwhelmingly vote for him. He will get all those electoral votes, regardless of what his percentage is.

OTOH, in California, the white vote is much more evenly divided, and will combine with other voters to give the Democrat, presumably Hillary, all of California's electoral votes.

Most states will vote very predictably, and it will come down to a handful that can go either way.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

14 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

A quick estimate, how likely it is for Trump to win the national election: [View all] DetlefK May 2016 OP

Depending on who our nominee is Kittycat May 2016 #1

You need to look at that from the point of view of swing states. phleshdef May 2016 #2

You have to drill down to the state level Ex Lurker May 2016 #3

Just FYI: I do have a life besides DU. DetlefK May 2016 #7

It's going to boil down to who the voters hate more Lurks Often May 2016 #4

I like your analysis...however titaniumsalute May 2016 #5

The white - yearning for apartheid South Africa - culture will vote for Trump Hoyt May 2016 #6

An infinitismally small number that approaches zero WhaTHellsgoingonhere May 2016 #8

All that assumes the game board won't get knocked over. Jerry442 May 2016 #9

The voting machines are rigged fasttense May 2016 #10

In my mind's eye there's this big Looney-Tunes "Cheat" switch somewhere... NT Jerry442 May 2016 #11

As likely as Nicole Kidman sleeping with me tonight fred v May 2016 #12

Trump will choose 2-4 SCOTUS Justices if Democrats dont Get Out the Vote Bernardo de La Paz May 2016 #13

Trump has alienated a number of key demographic groups Gothmog May 2016 #14