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In reply to the discussion: The Trump nightmare is real. Clinton could lose this. [View all]Bucky
(55,334 posts)Banking on (1) Trump not switching his marketing to a general election audience and (2) Republicans NOT coagulating behind their party nominee and (3) Republicans not trotting out a lot of dirty trick "October Surprises" to throw off Clinton's support... all seem like really bad campaign strategies.
Trump's strength has never been with conservatives. It's the low-info, vote-from-the-gut independents where he draws his support. You need to give the RNC's and their attendant superPacs a few months of "Clinton's coming for your guns" and "stop the baby-killers" bullshit before the conservatives start breaking out the clothespins and voting for their stinker of a nominee.
I'm already watching my conservative friends start to rationalize their nose-pinching, "oh but he doesn't mean what he's saying" votes for Trump. Why on earth would we not count on them doing so?