San Andreas Fault 'Locked, Loaded And Ready To Roll' With Big Earthquake, Expert Says [View all]
Southern Californias section of the San Andreas fault is locked, loaded and ready to roll, a leading earthquake scientist said Wednesday at the National Earthquake Conference in Long Beach.
The San Andreas fault is one of Californias most dangerous, and is the states longest fault. Yet for Southern California, the last big earthquake to strike the southern San Andreas was in 1857, when a magnitude 7.9 earthquake ruptured an astonishing 185 miles between Monterey County and the San Gabriel Mountains near Los Angeles.
It has been quiet since then too quiet, said Thomas Jordan, director of the Southern California Earthquake Center.
Although the Pacific plate is moving northwest relative to North America at about 16 feet, or 5 meters, every 100 years, the southern San Andreas fault has been quiet for more than a century. (Thomas Jordan / Southern California Earthquake Center)
The springs on the San Andreas system have been wound very, very tight. And the southern San Andreas fault, in particular, looks like its locked, loaded and ready to go, Jordan said in the opening keynote talk.
Other sections of the San Andreas fault also are far overdue for a big quake. Further southeast of the Cajon Pass, such as in San Bernardino County, the fault has not moved substantially since an earthquake in 1812, and further southeast toward the Salton Sea, it has been relatively quiet since about 1680 to 1690.
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