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muriel_volestrangler

(105,917 posts)
9. Here's the first IPCC report's estimate of pre-industrial to 1980 increase in forcing
Sat May 21, 2016, 03:33 PM
May 2016

for CO2 and the total - page 54, table 2.6: https://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/far/wg_I/ipcc_far_wg_I_chapter_02.pdf

Sum: 1.91 W m-2
of which 1.20 W m-2 was CO2

so 0.71 W m-2 was non-CO2. So the relative contributions to the warming was 1.2:0.71, or 1.69:1 CO2 to others up to 1980; and since 1979 (basically the same date) it's been 64:39, or 1.64:1. So they're still increasing at about the same relative proportions.

Or you can look at the annual emissions - from AR5 https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/syr/AR5_SYR_FINAL_SPM.pdf Page 5 Figure SPM 2:
total CO2 share of the CO2 equivalent (fossil fuel, industrial, and land use change):
1970 55%+17%=72%
1990 59%+16%= 75%
2010 65%+11%=76%

So that too shows that the increase in CO2 emissions is just slightly faster than for the others, but by very little.

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