Who Do You Think Hillary's VP Pick Will Be?

[Doctor Jack]

29. Here is what the gang over at 538 has to say

natesilver: The Clintons aren’t being too subtle about this. They clearly want everyone to think that it’s either Kaine or Vilsack. Which is probably because it actually will be Kaine or Vilsack, and they want to see if airing their names out brings anything to the fore.Or it’s a misdirection, and they’re hoping to do something game-changey like pick Warren. I tend not to think it will be somewhere in between, though. You don’t tease Kaine or Vilsack and then trot out another Boring White Guy.

harry: I remind readers that very few people thought Bill Clinton would pick Al Gore in 1992. And what Bill Clinton ended up doing was choosing a candidate who reinforced his bona fides.

micah: I think Warren is a no-brainer.

natesilver: Warren would create the most buzz of any pick since Sarah Palin and change the way a lot of people regard Clinton. The conventional wisdom is that she’d be a “risky” pick, however.

clare.malone: omg, I love Clinton palace intrigue. Clinton reportedly met with Warren, and it seemed to be the kind of thing that was “you’re not getting the nod but let’s talk about your role going forward.”

micah: Warren excites the Bernie Sanders voters, she helps the ticket feel less “Secretary of the status quo,” (to borrow Pence’s wonderful turn of phrase). Warren emphasizes the historic nature of Clinton’s candidacy and helps defend against Trump’s more populist, Wall Street-themed attacks, which I tend to think are among his most effective against Clinton.

natesilver: Well, look, that’s clearly what they want us to think, Clare. They clearly want us to think it’s Vilsack or Kaine. Which is probably how they’d play it if it actually was Warren. They wouldn’t want us to know it was Warren.


More here:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-should-trump-respond-to-the-cruz-craziness/