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mythology

(9,527 posts)
7. In the 2008 GE, he hit 49 of 50 states
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 07:56 PM
Aug 2016

In the 2012, GE, he hit 50 of 50 states.

It's difficult to judge too hard based on primaries, especially given that his methodology is based on polling because both Clinton (minority voters) and Sanders (1st time and young voters) are hard to poll for in a primary election especially. But in spite of that, the polling was generally right on the winner if not the margin of victory in any given states. There were a couple of notable examples like Michigan, but if one looked at the demographics of the state, it was pretty clear Sanders should have been favored.

I'm not sure why you think Silver has been wrong so often, but okay.

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