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FLPanhandle

(7,107 posts)

10. He is incredibly accurate

Reply to StrictlyRockers (Reply #4)

Tue Aug 9, 2016, 11:06 PM

Aug 2016

The one area that is hard to predict during the primaries was caucuses since they weren't easy to predict using polls.

Outside of that, he has been spot on.

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Nate Silver Election Update: Polls Show Pennsylvania Back In Clinton�s Firewall [View all] Hissyspit Aug 2016 OP

Trump can't win without PA VMA131Marine Aug 2016 #1

Silver is way to neg for Clinton grubbs Aug 2016 #2

He's just being careful.... Adrahil Aug 2016 #3

Silver is wrong way too often for my tastes. StrictlyRockers Aug 2016 #4

In the 2008 GE, he hit 49 of 50 states mythology Aug 2016 #7

I'll accept that he was wrong one time, eight years ago. StrictlyRockers Aug 2016 #8

He just did Johnny2X2X Aug 2016 #9

Right, I said I accepted that he was right one time, four years ago. StrictlyRockers Aug 2016 #11

Does this mean nothing to you? Orrex Aug 2016 #14

He is incredibly accurate FLPanhandle Aug 2016 #10

So you're saying he's been spot on except for all those many times that he was wrong? StrictlyRockers Aug 2016 #12

Not a chance Trump wins here. PA is over for him. nt onehandle Aug 2016 #5

Mark my words. Glassunion Aug 2016 #6

If you actually want unbiased predictions and good methodologies on state-wide polling StrictlyRockers Aug 2016 #13

Yeah, 538's model is kind of ridiculous. Good models don't have 38% swings in a week and a half. Chathamization Aug 2016 #15