Nate Silver Election Update: Polls Show Pennsylvania Back In Clinton’s Firewall

[Chathamization]

15. Yeah, 538's model is kind of ridiculous. Good models don't have 38% swings in a week and a half.

With a swing like that, the model is mostly useless. Straight poll aggregations (538, Huffpost Pollster) are much more informative. They were also better for the primaries - even though Silver defenders try to dismiss those as just the primary being difficult, you were better up looking at the aggregations than reading 538 articles for those. The only reason to go to 538 is if you're a person who wants a meaningless percentage attached to your poll aggregation.