Okay, I'm getting confused. What swing states does Cheeto Benito need to get to 270? Assuming he

[ColemanMaskell]

8. "Election Update: The Top ‘Must-Win’ States For Trump And Clinton" at this url:

There is a 538 article from Sept 10th,
"Election Update: The Top ‘Must-Win’ States For Trump And Clinton"
at this url:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-the-top-must-win-states-for-trump-and-clinton/

Also see the 538 article from Sept 22 here:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-leading-in-exactly-the-states-she-needs-to-win/

Scroll down a little. There is a figure that looks like a snake or some convoluted plumbing, blue on the left and reddish on the right. It gives a state by state breakdown. Pale blue and pink states toward the middle are swing states.

On the right you can click on "See polls and forecasts" under the USA map, and you get to a page that has a bigger USA map. You can move the mouse/cursor over any state to get the percentages for that state.

Note that 538 tends to express its numbers in terms of probability of winning the election, not in straight polling results.

Florida is an important state for either side to win.

Also see "The winding path to 270 electoral votes"
To see that, go here and page down a ways:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo