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Helen Borg

(3,963 posts)

4. We are where we were in mid August.

Reply to davidn3600 (Original post)

Fri Oct 14, 2016, 05:47 AM

Oct 2016

And yet, even with a chance of a Trump win of 14%, I feel uncomfortable. If somebody handed you a gun saying there are 7 bullet slots and only one has a bullet, would you feel comfortable pulling the trigger with the gun against your head? That is what a 14% win means in terms of probabilities. That number has to go down to < 1%. Clinton should be smoking Trump in some states where the race is close.

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Two BIG problems with Hillary way in the lead [View all] davidn3600 Oct 2016 OP

Very few of us here MFM008 Oct 2016 #1

I think Trump's daily nonsense, including his fascist speeches, are helping to keep us motivated. manicraven Oct 2016 #2

As Nate Silver pointed out, aggregate polls of Brexit had it as being a toss-up qdouble Oct 2016 #3

We are where we were in mid August. Helen Borg Oct 2016 #4

I'm not concerned at all. stonecutter357 Oct 2016 #5

There's this strange myth that "polls all agreed that the UK would vote to stay in the EU" muriel_volestrangler Oct 2016 #6