Crystal Ball still says yes, Hillary

[4lbs]

4. Yes, I've seen Steve Kornacki do his Gordian Knot of what-ifs to get Trump to 270.

He does it EVERY F**KING DAY and sometimes 4 or 5 times a day, if called upon by other show anchors. It has switched from becoming informative to really annoying.

And what's up with that rolled up paper he is always carrying but not reading from?

Yet, I digress.

It is the poker equivalent of getting exactly a spade suit royal flush while every other player gets no better than ace high.

Trump needs all the Romney states (he's having trouble in 4 of them).

Trump needs to get 6 Obama blue states (he's only probably got 1 of them for sure).

Trump needs to win Florida (looks 50-50 at best for him).

Hillary has 274 EV right now *WITHOUT* Ohio, and those "toss-ups" not decided.

25 million people (or about 20% of the expected vote) have already voted in early voting BEFORE the Comey announcement on Friday. Hillary has a big advantage in that vote.