Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

Showing Original Post only (View all)

cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)
Wed Jun 20, 2012, 05:16 PM Jun 2012

Bloomberg Poll (Complete) [View all]

Any news story about a poll that does not include a link to the actual poll results is not a news story.

And any news story about a court decision that does not include a link to the actual decision is not a news story.

IMO.

So for what it's worth, the Bloomberg poll is interesting reading:

http://media.bloomberg.com/bb/avfile/rQyA68BW5P20

Have spent some time with the full results, I think the poll is probably flawed. We have two possibilities.

1) Democratic Party affiliation and Obama support among independents have both jumped a lot, in a sudden fashion. That is possible, but would need to be confirmed by several subsequent polls. If that has happened in the real electorate that is excellent news, albeit surprising. Or,

2) Using Bloomberg's likely voter screen and a more representative sample, Obama is up 48%-50%, over Romney's 43%-45%.

Either way that is an excellent result for Obama.

But I will never understand the motive in embracing a favorable outlier with atypical internals while rejecting as absurd an unfavorable outlier with atypical internals. Goose. Gander.

7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Bloomberg Poll (Complete) [View all] cthulu2016 Jun 2012 OP
they undersampled whites by 5%. hrmjustin Jun 2012 #1
Actually not by race. The problem is with party affiliation. cthulu2016 Jun 2012 #2
thanks for the correction. hrmjustin Jun 2012 #3
67% may well be too low. cthulu2016 Jun 2012 #4
I'll take it. demosincebirth Jun 2012 #7
Don't start the whole Goose Gander thing! Motown_Johnny Jun 2012 #5
Everyone else loves Ned Flanders! cthulu2016 Jun 2012 #6
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Bloomberg Poll (Complete)