General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Lifting the 435 seat limit on the size of the U.S. House would make the Electoral College fairer. [View all]Grey Lemercier
(1,429 posts)getting worse, regardless of the EC reapportionment that will occur post 2020 Census. The gains made by California and other states will be marginal, and quite possibly (in the case of Texas and then large swing states who could , as they did do in 2016, go red) even further ratfuck us and the country as a whole. Gen Z (iGen, post Millennials, whatever you want to call them, the group born post 1995 or post 2000) are unfortunately WAY more conservative, way more bible-banging church goers (almost 2 and half times more church attendance than millennials for example), and will be larger in size than Gen X and us Millennials. African Americans are shrinking in terms of percentage of the population, Hispanics are much more likely to vote Rethug than A-A's, especially the multigenerational ones, and we will now have extreme trouble getting pathways to Citizenship for the 10 to 15 million undocumented ones, who would be much more likely to vote for Dems.
The next 2 elections are so key on 3 main levels. In 2018, we face a horrific Senate map. The Rethugs could go over 60 seats, and unless they blow up in a disastrous way (here is hoping), they will likely gain a net 5 plus, which then makes 2024 the soonest we can take back the Senate. I break down the 2018, 2020, 2022 Senate races in absolute detail here http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=8429527 . It's an ugly sight.
In 2020, if we do not make inroads at state legislature levels, the post-2020 Census Congressional redistricting will ensure the soonest we probably can take back the House will be 2032 (yes, I am not joking, even in this massive (bullshit narrative) "change" election, around 97% of House Incumbents won.. Also, of course, in 2020, if Trump is somehow re-elected, that almost guarantees a decades long 7-2 hard RW SCOTUS. That may happen anyway (at least a 6-3 RW majority) if Ginsberg cannot hang on. Breyer and Kennedy surely cannot both serve until 2025 (the soonest we can appoint good SCOTUS judges if Trump, gag, wins).
The State (Governors, Legislators, Statewide elected offices) maps are even worse.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10028299446
Overall, the Democratic party is at its lowest power level in combined State/Federal/Municipal elected offices since the Civil War.
We have to do something or we will become a bankster-run, technotronic, neo-feudal, oligarchic capitalist, apartheid, fundie xian new Sparta. A nation of mostly 21st century helots (the slaves in Sparta) with our most impactful export as official mercenaries (the Armed Forces will continue to be used for empiric war projection, propping up the petrol-dollar matrix, and further wealth consolidation at macro international levels).
I would love to hear your ideas to start to turn around the supertanker of state.