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Cosmocat

(15,424 posts)
4. The historical data on this is all fine and well
Tue Apr 4, 2017, 07:52 AM
Apr 2017

but, the challenges to democrats having a big "wave" are far more difficult today:

1) We have the most effectively gerrymandered house districts in our history by far, in favor of republicans. This alone means the dynamics have to be even more significant to get a real shot at getting the House.

2) The slate of races in the senate are the worst for Ds of the 6 year cycle. They have to defend FAR more seats than they have a shot a picking up.

3) Money in politics only gets more pervasive each election, and that money isn't pouring in on average to help democrats.

4) We now are in a era when Russians are the reigning champs at tipping elections of other countries, and once again, they aren't tipping the scales in favor of democrats here in America.

Last point - there is SO much time, and this country is THAT flat fin stupid, there is some event that could somehow be spun to the democrats favor. IF 9-11 had happened under a President Gore - make more mistake, he would have been run out of office in 2004 and we would not have seen another democratic president for decades. BUT, because it was a republican asleep at the wheel at the time, they were were allowed to hammer the country over the heads with it to maintain power for the next 5 years.

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