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FourScore

(9,704 posts)
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 10:13 PM Jul 2012

Farenheit 104 (40 degrees C). This is a number everyone should know. [View all]

Mon Jul 02, 2012 at 07:10 PM PDT
Farenheit 104 (40 degrees C). This is a number everyone should know.
by 8ackgr0und N015e



This graphic needs to be engrained in public awareness. Why? As I said in 2009, global warming could stop photosynthesis in plants we need to survive...

SNIP

...Since the US is the world’s top exporter of corn (about half the world's export), soya beans (about one third of the world's export) and wheat, damaging the harvest will have a global impact. This follows mere months since similar problems hit crops in Argentina, Paraguay, Uraguay and Brazil. As a result, the price of corn has risen 30% since mid-June and soy prices are the highest they have been in years.



A paper published in Geophysical Research Letters a few years ago, titled, When can we expect extremely high surface temperatures? (warning PDF) offered some sobering projections. Here is one of their graphs. Given the projections shown above (pay attention to the US Midwest) this recent news should come as no surprise. Yet, the current turn of events apparently caught traders and the USDA off guard. The warmer than usual spring meant more planting was done. However, what was a benefit has now become a liability as the heat, coupled with drought, threatens these crops before harvesting.

“The combination of low subsoil moisture, which is a reflection of the lack of precipitation that we had during the winter, together with the very hot weather that we’re seeing right now could spell a pretty disastrous scenario for corn and soyabeans,” said Hussein Allidina, head of commodities research at Morgan Stanley.


The seriousness of the problem can be demonstrated by the fact the USDA recently declared less than half of US corn was in good or excellent condition while 22 per cent was in poor condition. Even more concerning is the speed with which this problem developed. Only a few months ago, the USDA was projecting US farmers would produce a record corn crop this year.

The bottom line: The current heatwave threatens to undermine forecasts of record output after the most widespread US corn plantings in 75 years. This is only two years after Russia suspended grain exports because of droughts that were worse than any they had experienced in half a century...

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/07/02/1105470/-Farenheit-104-40-degrees-C-is-a-number-everyone-should-know
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Famine. We still aren't linking the heat to famine. aquart Jul 2012 #1
I've been warning people for years that ultimately that is what will happen - kestrel91316 Jul 2012 #4
Wish it were funny, could live with that! turtlerescue1 Jul 2012 #2
you got an 'A' in Astronomy? eShirl Jul 2012 #18
YEP! turtlerescue1 Jul 2012 #20
That doesn't mean that s/he doesn't understand why, just that s/he had not observed it before. patrice Jul 2012 #26
in grad school (in Tucson) learned a little about this... CreekDog Jul 2012 #3
I gave up trying to grow sweet corn here in the Valley kestrel91316 Jul 2012 #5
The San Fernando Valley, right? nilram Jul 2012 #12
Yep, the SF Valley. Hottest place in LA County, including kestrel91316 Jul 2012 #22
So glad to hear this as a gardener... susanna Jul 2012 #16
take a look at the idea of "heat units" and also note the minimum temperatures CreekDog Jul 2012 #17
This is fascinating insight, CreekDog. susanna Jul 2012 #50
I'm in WI EC Jul 2012 #29
Thanks for your response, EC... susanna Jul 2012 #49
That would be bad EC Jul 2012 #53
Re: birds/insects... susanna Jul 2012 #55
I hear ya on the new plants surviving winters up here NickB79 Jul 2012 #45
Weird, isn't it? susanna Jul 2012 #51
Here in upper Ohio NEOhiodemocrat Jul 2012 #52
Thanks, NEOhiodemocrat. susanna Jul 2012 #54
About those tomatoes dixiegrrrrl Jul 2012 #32
My Roma tomatoes are going crazy this year. I grew from seed. alfredo Jul 2012 #34
Meanwhile the teaparty held a "book burning" for ACA flamingdem Jul 2012 #6
A visual representation alfredo Jul 2012 #7
wow flamingdem Jul 2012 #8
Even worse if it was steel. alfredo Jul 2012 #9
When we get there we'll know flamingdem Jul 2012 #11
Venus is an example of runaway global warming. alfredo Jul 2012 #24
Venus does have Global Warming issues flamingdem Jul 2012 #25
So we are limited by the amount of CO2 in our atmosphere. It will get hot, but not Venus hot. alfredo Jul 2012 #33
I saw a bunch of those on Reddit... joshcryer Jul 2012 #13
Actually, emmadoggy Jul 2012 #46
You are of course correct. :) joshcryer Jul 2012 #48
Holy crap! SunSeeker Jul 2012 #14
Whoa! Ruby the Liberal Jul 2012 #28
We are the children of corn. We have become dependent on corn and soy. alfredo Jul 2012 #10
I found this recent article about the Grain Belt and how it will "fare better": joshcryer Jul 2012 #15
no one near the great lakes is going to let that happen... n/t nebenaube Jul 2012 #31
If the Ogallala Aquifer is depeleated they'd have no choice. joshcryer Jul 2012 #38
Do you hear the sound of hoofbeats growing louder? Sounds like there are four riders. GliderGuider Jul 2012 #19
That is not encouraging... truebrit71 Jul 2012 #21
I wonder if building greenhouses felix_numinous Jul 2012 #23
Anyone have an historical heat map going back a few million years? Just curious. leveymg Jul 2012 #27
Here it is for the last 400,000 years. Current cyclical highs look more or less normal. leveymg Jul 2012 #30
It looks like the peak is lasting longer. alfredo Jul 2012 #35
Uhmm . . . very similar to my eye. Here's the data sources for these graphs: leveymg Jul 2012 #36
The human race is due for a shakeout. Weather related world wide famine alfredo Jul 2012 #40
G-d, I hope you're wrong. People did awful things to each other there before they starved to death. leveymg Jul 2012 #41
There's shakeouts in other animal populations when too many are in one region. You see alfredo Jul 2012 #43
we sold our corn surplus to China lovuian Jul 2012 #37
I wonder when the right starts getting the blame for stopping any attempt to avoid this. Kablooie Jul 2012 #39
As per exxon-MOB-ill CEO, we'll just... adapt!! Amonester Jul 2012 #42
Open a porn site online. alfredo Jul 2012 #44
Some dumbass on another site, emmadoggy Jul 2012 #47
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