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In reply to the discussion: This! This! This all day long. Without comment [View all]SticksnStones
(2,108 posts)32. There's been a great deal of forensic review of the data
Reasonable review by educated people. Check out unhackthevote.com
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Not to mention .16% is probably based on the 5 states being independent events.
Lucky Luciano
May 2017
#13
I was referring to bias in the means but such covariance could cause problems too.
american_ideals
May 2017
#105
I'm saying is you can do the coin flip test five times and the odds are you will get 50% all five.
L. Coyote
May 2017
#86
Yup, its hopeless. Some people have no understanding that the factors that make a poll wrong
progree
May 2017
#92
That is a quite remarkable misunderstanding of basic high school (let alone graduate) statistics.
BzaDem
May 2017
#97
I wonder what the percent chance was that Trump would cheat by messing with vote totals.
Squinch
May 2017
#53
that's what they said in 2000; they haven't fixed this yet? these polls used to be very accurate...
TheFrenchRazor
May 2017
#73
True, but how can any election be fair if their can be no recount and voting
The Wielding Truth
May 2017
#26
She used a straight forward calculation of win probabilities from 538 for FL, MI, NC, PA and WI
LonePirate
May 2017
#56
I agree, I could tell Nate Silver was really unsure about what might happen
Quixote1818
May 2017
#57
I will check him out because this seems to be bothering some and they gaslight reflexively
LaydeeBug
May 2017
#40
Those States were Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Florida, what was the other?
kairos12
May 2017
#8
When same guy wins lottery five times, probability is very low. That's what the OP is saying.
L. Coyote
May 2017
#87
I live in York PA and I have said many times that when I vote I touch a name on the screen and then
JoeOtterbein
May 2017
#19
the machines are a joke; no one would accept them for anything else important. nt
TheFrenchRazor
May 2017
#75
I'm not so hot on math tonight but wouldn't .01 be one percent and the 16 would be 16 one hundredths
keithbvadu2
May 2017
#21
You obviously know very little about statistics, too little to criticize math teachers.
L. Coyote
May 2017
#88
Sorry, a probability of 0.0016 is not 16 ten thousands of 1%. And yes, I have an MSEE
progree
May 2017
#90
Putin probably didn't need to; the Republicans already rigged them in red states
Liberty Belle
May 2017
#23
Oh, I think the Russians and Republicans coordinated with one another for sure.
LaydeeBug
May 2017
#35
You should delete this thread. It makes DU look stupid, i.e., suffering
KingCharlemagne
May 2017
#37
I think Hillary's campaign also suffered from over-confidence. She repeated Gore's
KingCharlemagne
May 2017
#43
YOU should delete your post. where is the evidence that the vote counts were legit? oh yeah, the vot
TheFrenchRazor
May 2017
#77
You should delete this post. It makes DU look like people don't read the OPs.
L. Coyote
May 2017
#94
Not a statistician. The question of hacking of certain types of voting machines
Enoki33
May 2017
#61
I've been saying this since the election results came in but couldn't figure
Maraya1969
May 2017
#62
This is absurd, and shows a basic lack of understanding of high school probability and statistics.
BzaDem
May 2017
#96
You are confusing "exit polls" with "statistics". Exit polls use statistics, but a problem with
BzaDem
May 2017
#102
Explain Minnesota - a state Hillary narrowly WON (by 1.5%). When Minnesota's that tight,
Midwestern Democrat
May 2017
#99