This! This! This all day long. Without comment

[progree]

90. Sorry, a probability of 0.0016 is not 16 ten thousands of 1%. And yes, I have an MSEE

with 4 statistics courses under my belt, including graduate level. And plenty of experience with peer reviewed statistical analysis in my engineering work.

And plenty of others agree with me on this in the thread.

From the tweet: "Prob Trump would win all 5 swing states was .0016, 16 ten thousandths of 1%. "

If you really think that a 0.0016 probability is 16 ten thousandths of 1%, I'm really sorry for you. It is 16 ten thousandths, not 16 ten thousandths of 1%.

To take a simple example, lets say the probability of an event is 0.01 which also is 1/100. That is clearly a 1% probability of that event happening. Would you argue otherwise? Hell, that's middle school math that you convert a proportion to a percent by moving the decimal 2 places to the right.

If you are in awe of elementary math school teachers, than good for you.

>> P = 0.0016 is equal to odds of one in 625 <<

Yes, I agree. Did I ever say or indicate otherwise? A little bit of a strawman argument on your part, perhaps?

It is also 0.16% = 16 hundredths of a percent.