General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Who will be the first to tell me I'm indulging in paranoid fantasies? [View all]Jackpine Radical
(45,274 posts)I appreciate the fact that you were able to see past that to my real point. I also agree that the sentence should be the sentence, and in some cases I can see the desirability of fairly long sentences. Rapists "age out" of doing rapes at about age 45; maybe we should confine them until then.
Child molesters (I avoid the term "pedophiles" because the issue of diagnosing pedophilia is very controversial & some recent studies show that we can't do it reliably) have a substantially lower recidivism rate than rapists, but their risk curve falls somewhat more slowly as they age. It is the "mixed" offenders--those with both child and adult victims--who are most problematic. Considerable thought should be given to how to deal with them.
And while I'm at it, juveniles who commit sexual offenses are quite unlikely (in actuarial terms) to persist in committing sex offenses in adulthood.