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In reply to the discussion: You Do Realize They Probably Changed The Election Results [View all]athena
(4,187 posts)The page you linked to only lists the results of the exit polls, breaking them down by gender, ethnicity, income, etc. It does not compare exit polls to actual vote totals.
I suspect that what you looked at was CNN's "projected winner" page. This is not based on exit polls alone. It's based on all the information that was available until the projection was made. The only way it would be wrong is if the projection had been wrong. A projection is not the same as an exit poll. Projections are made when actual results start coming in; it's only when exit polls show a landslide in a given state that a projection is made as soon as the polls close. Where the results are closer, they first compare exit poll results to the actual outcome to make a projection.
Here is the actual comparison of exit polls to election results, which shows that Hillary Clinton should have won:
Wisconsin: Exit poll: 48.2%-44.3% Clinton; Election result: 47.22%-46.45% Trump
Pennsylvania: Exit poll: 50.5%-46.1% Clinton; Election result: 48.17%-47.46% Trump
Florida: Exit poll: 47.7%-46.4% Clinton; Election result: 48.60%-47.41% Trump
North Carolina: Exit poll: 48.6%-46.5% Clinton; Election result: 49.83%-46.17% Trump
If you still don't believe me, here are four web sites making the point that the exit polls predicted a Clinton win:
http://www.alternet.org/something-stinks-when-exit-polls-and-official-counts-dont-match
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/11/09/how-wrong-were-the-polls-in-predicting-the-us-election/
http://obat-drug.info/news/2016-Exit-Polls-vs.-Actual-Results:-Trump-Lost-Election-After-All?-Here%E2%80%99s-What-May-Have-Happened
http://www.inquisitr.com/3742358/2016-electoral-map-results-comparing-exit-polls-with-elections-results-in-light-of-recount2016/
Excerpt:
"Additionally, what perplexes many voters is that the margins of the exit polls compared with the margins of the initial 2016 electoral map results are well beyond the margin of error. But its not just that. Many find it peculiar that this particular data trend only happened in four states, which were the four states that Donald Trump needed to win; Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania."