General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Trump won every surprise swing state by the same 1% margin. [View all]Yupster
(14,308 posts)I was surprised how early the campaign and Obama knew it was pretty much over.
We were sitting there at 2 am and they knew it was over hours ahead of that.
Just to summarize, an old Arkansas friend called Bill Clinton early in the night and told him they were in horrible trouble in Florida. That surprised the campaign because they thought the numbers were coming in not great, but good enough to win. The guy said they weren't catching Trump's numbers in the rural districts. He wasn't just winning those, he was dominating, winning small counties by 25,000 votes which Romney won by 3,000.
Each hour Mook did a conference call with the key campaign guys updating the numbers. By 8 pm, everyone knew they were in big trouble, by the 9 pm call it sounded like hope instead of facts.
Mandy Grunwald asked Mook early in the night how things looked. He said it wasn't as good as they exp[ected but the model was holding. Grunwald said it didn't look like the model was holding to her.
Bill's Arkansas friend said he was looking at a particular county in Florida where most of the people came from the Mid-west. They were going heavy for Trump. Then the next question was would that trend also show up in the Mid-west? Once the campaign saw it was, they knew it was over.
It's a pretty interesting read. Pretty much must reading for us geeks.
One surprise was I didn't realize Obama called her campaign twice during the night trying to get her to concede. Also interesting why Hillary didn't speak that night and how Podesta was chosen to go out and speak.