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ThoughtCriminal

(14,718 posts)
18. Possibly, but their detective work seems sloppy
Mon Oct 9, 2017, 10:19 PM
Oct 2017

But I have not looked at their analysis in detail. Let me give you an example from the video.

At around 3:40+ they begin to talk about the apparent weight of missile based on NK video of the missile being lifted by a crane purchased from Japan. Because of where the center of gravity is located, they note that the missile must be quite light, and conclude that it was produced using highly advanced materials and construction techniques. That is just one of the possibilities. The other, more likely explanation is that the missile in the video is a hollow shell mock-up. There are similar problems with drawing conclusions from pictures of horizontal fueling, the alleged small thermonuclear warhead that nobody has inspected, etc...

Kim clearly wants the world to believe that he has deliverable fission and even fusion warheads, but barring close inspection from an international team, there is every reason to believe that like most NK propaganda, it is largely fake. That would not mean that they are not dangerous, only that they cannot be delivered by aircraft or missile.

North Korea definitely has constructed and detonated nuclear devices, but it is quite likely that these were primitive and massive. They have also launched a few long-range missiles - with a very high failure rate and questionable payload capability.

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An ICBM hitting SF or LA lapfog_1 Oct 2017 #1
No surprises there. Eliot Rosewater Oct 2017 #2
That's funny, I just said out loud to my dog while driving in CA BigmanPigman Oct 2017 #10
Bannon hates liberals period bdamomma Oct 2017 #13
I saw some fucking assholes cheering on the fires on Twitter. Initech Oct 2017 #19
"We don't want the smoking gun to be a mushroom cloud." Dick Cheney, Jan 10, 2003 procon Oct 2017 #3
Let's remind them that we've heard this shit before. Ilsa Oct 2017 #4
Youre too late. Glassunion Oct 2017 #5
"The avalanche has already started. It is too late for the pebbles to vote." From Babylon 5 SharonAnn Oct 2017 #11
Yup. We can refuse to pay our taxes. Let them try to make the govt work without Dems' taxes adigal Oct 2017 #24
Now where have I heard that before? Iggo Oct 2017 #6
If north Korea attacks a U.S. city, it will not be an ICBM ThoughtCriminal Oct 2017 #7
Do you study NK like these guys? bathroommonkey76 Oct 2017 #15
Probably. ThoughtCriminal Oct 2017 #16
Yep- Do you? bathroommonkey76 Oct 2017 #17
Possibly, but their detective work seems sloppy ThoughtCriminal Oct 2017 #18
The real worry is China, not NK. Kentonio Oct 2017 #21
Seattle's the closest major mainland city to NK Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Oct 2017 #8
Why would the North Koreans launch a nuclear missile at us? Nevernose Oct 2017 #9
BECAUSE EVIL!!!! EEEEEVIL! Orrex Oct 2017 #22
I've never seen people want an attack on our country so badly IronLionZion Oct 2017 #12
anyone watching Lawrence O'Donnell??? bdamomma Oct 2017 #14
I'm terrified. raven mad Oct 2017 #20
Fortunately, the Salesman-in-Chief is a demented clown. Orsino Oct 2017 #23
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Here it is....just heard ...»Reply #18