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DemocratSinceBirth

(101,996 posts)

4. If we win the generic ballot by seven points it is more likely than not we win the House.

Reply to PoindexterOglethorpe (Reply #2)

Wed Oct 11, 2017, 06:53 PM

Oct 2017

That, of course, is different than saying it's a lead pipe cinch.

You also have to factor in Hillary won the pop vote in 24 Congressional districts that voted for a Republican to represent them. If you add up the districts that Trump won by ten points or less it's damn near one hundred.

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So lets say Economist poll is right and we win the house popular by 7 points in 18 [View all] NewsCenter28 Oct 2017 OP

The House is gerrymandered but a seven point lead should do the trick. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2017 #1

Not necessarily. PoindexterOglethorpe Oct 2017 #2

If we win the generic ballot by seven points it is more likely than not we win the House. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2017 #4

The generic ballot isn't that useful. PoindexterOglethorpe Oct 2017 #7

Which scenario is more likely DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2017 #8

You said it! PoindexterOglethorpe Oct 2017 #9

Wish we had Howard Dean as Party Chair. ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ pangaia Oct 2017 #6

Don't look at me caraher Oct 2017 #3

Me too. moose65 Oct 2017 #5