General Discussion

PoindexterOglethorpe

(28,493 posts)

7. The generic ballot isn't that useful.

Wed Oct 11, 2017, 07:23 PM

Oct 2017

If we had a parliamentary system it would be, but we have all of these separate districts.

And again, if we win by huge margins in Democratic districts and just barely lose in the many gerrymandered Republican ones, we won't regain the House. The House needs to be fought for district by district. And while we don't want to blow off even the safest Democratic District, we don't want to be focussing to tightly on the safe ones. Likewise, we can't blow off the safe Republican Districts. It's when no one runs against an incumbent that we lose twice. By just letting them have that seat the party looks ineffectual, and local voters don't understand that there are actual Democrats out there they might be voting for if they only had the chance.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

9 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

So lets say Economist poll is right and we win the house popular by 7 points in 18 [View all] NewsCenter28 Oct 2017 OP

The House is gerrymandered but a seven point lead should do the trick. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2017 #1

Not necessarily. PoindexterOglethorpe Oct 2017 #2

If we win the generic ballot by seven points it is more likely than not we win the House. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2017 #4

The generic ballot isn't that useful. PoindexterOglethorpe Oct 2017 #7

Which scenario is more likely DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2017 #8

You said it! PoindexterOglethorpe Oct 2017 #9

Wish we had Howard Dean as Party Chair. ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ pangaia Oct 2017 #6

Don't look at me caraher Oct 2017 #3

Me too. moose65 Oct 2017 #5